Thursday , 2 July 2026

KAA Gent vs KRC Genk, Jupiler League 2026 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

1 4
Full Time
Sun 18 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Ghelamco Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KAA Gent vs KRC GenkJupiler League at Ghelamco Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Jan Boterberg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May KRC Genk H 1–4 L
11 May Royal Antwerp FC H 0–3 L
01 May Club Brugge KV A 1–4 L
27 Apr RSC Anderlecht H 0–1 L
23 Apr RSC Anderlecht A 0–5 L
20 Apr Club Brugge KV H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May KAA Gent A 4–1 W
11 May Club Brugge KV H 0–2 L
03 May Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–1 L
27 Apr Royal Antwerp FC H 0–1 L
23 Apr Royal Antwerp FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–2 L

Season Stats

KAA Gent KRC Genk
#4 Position #7
45 Points 42
30 Played 30
13 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 9 / 10
49 Scored 46
43 Conceded 47
+6 GD -1
1.50 PPG 1.40
43% Win % 37%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts). KRC Genk are 7th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ghelamco Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Patrik Hrosovsky has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 150 appearances.
  • 9' A stunning finish from Dante Vanzeir — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 14' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 19' KAA Gent are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined KRC Genk backline.
  • 24' KAA Gent have won 447 goals from 299 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 29' KAA Gent are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 32' Yira Sor doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' KRC Genk are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 42' The travelling KRC Genk supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mohamed Soumah makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 46' The KAA Gent bench stirs into life. Aime Omgba is withdrawn and Mathias Delorge gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josue Ndenge Kongolo, as he is very good at scoring at Ghelamco Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' That is a card for KAA Gent. Matisse Samoise will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' England international Archie Brown has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 68' Tiago Araujo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for KAA Gent tonight.
  • 70' The Belgium Noah Adedeji breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 2-2!
  • 70' The KRC Genk bench stirs into life. Yaimar Medina is withdrawn and Joris Kayembe gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Omri Gandelman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sven Kums at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' Hyun-Gyu Oh has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 85' Andri Gudjohnsen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dante Vanzeir on 85 minute.
  • 88' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Toluwalas Arokodare makes no mistake. 2-3!
  • 89' Konstantinos Karetsas makes way for Thomas Claes at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from KRC Genk.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Adrian Palacios. He replaces Mujaid Sadick on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. KRC Genk beats KAA Gent

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 KAA Gent xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 KRC Genk xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KAA Gent27% Draw24% KRC Genk49%
Actual: KRC Genk win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

KAA Gent or Draw
52%
Draw or KRC Genk
73%
KAA Gent or KRC Genk
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KAA Gent22% Draw40% KRC Genk38%
Actual: KRC Genk win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 0
3.5%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — KAA Gent

Handicap KAA Gent covers Push KRC Genk covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
13%
KRC Genk keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.