Wales vs Poland, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.92
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
76%
Draw or Poland
47%
Wales or Poland
76%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.