Italy vs Penistone Church FC, 2016

Refresh

League Two · 2016

Italy

2 – 1

Full Time

Penistone Church FC

Fri 10 Feb 2017 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Penistone Church FC — Premier League .

Italy 0 games · 0 pts
Penistone Church FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Italy 1.65

Draw 4.10

Penistone Church FC 5.75

Head-to-Head

Italy 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Penistone Church FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-10 Italy 2–1 Penistone Church FC 2016-09-16 Penistone Church FC 2–0 Italy

Recent Form

Italy

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Penistone Church FC	H	2–1	W
04 Feb	Poland	A	1–1	D
31 Jan	Portugal	H	2–3	L
28 Jan	Ireland	H	2–0	W
21 Jan	Slovakia	A	1–1	D
14 Jan	Ukraine	A	2–1	W

Penistone Church FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Italy	A	1–2	L
07 Feb	SSC Napoli	A	0–0	D
04 Feb	Iceland	H	1–2	L
28 Jan	Royal Standard de Liège	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	SD Huesca	H	1–0	W
02 Jan	Austria	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Italy launch into their encounter with Penistone Church FC.
With this win, Italy is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

Penistone Church FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.38 Italy xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 Penistone Church FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Italy45% Draw27% Penistone Church FC28%

Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw

73%

Draw or Penistone Church FC

55%

Italy or Penistone Church FC

73%

Half-Time Result

Italy29% Draw48% Penistone Church FC23%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 0

10.1%

1 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

8.1%

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap	Italy covers	Push	Penistone Church FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Penistone Church FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.