Saturday , 14 November 2026

Italy vs Albania, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Italy
2 – 1
Full Time
Albania
Sat 15 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 60,512 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Nedim Bajrami
Alessandro Bastoni 11' 1–1
Nicolo Barella 16' 2–1
Lorenzo Pellegrini 21' Y
Riccardo Calafiori 51' Y
Y 51' Armando Broja
Y 74' Arber Hoxha

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Albania — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Albania 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Italy 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Albania
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-15 Italy 2–1 Albania

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
Albania
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Italy A 1–2 L
05 May AS Roma H 2–2 D
28 Apr FC Porto A 0–1 L
21 Apr Valencia CF H 2–0 W
14 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 3–2 W
10 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
0% Clean Sheets
Albania this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Albania
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G
Albania
Qazim Laci 1 G
Klaus Gjasula 1 G
Nedim Bajrami 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — italy and albania get this one started.
  • 1' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nedim Bajrami makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 6' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 11' Alessandro Bastoni has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 11 minutes.
  • 16' Nicolo Barella makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Italy are in front.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a card for Lorenzo Pellegrini.
  • 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. italy and albania are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' A quiet spell here at Signal Iduna Park. albania seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' Lorenzo Pellegrini has been relatively quiet despite scoring 47 goals in his last 539 appearances.
  • 46' italy are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 51' Italy player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' It looks surprising italy does not make any changes. Jasir Asani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' italy are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against albania's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 68' The whistle greets Jasir Asani as he departs to be replaced by Arber Hoxha.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gianluca Scamacca suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' Arber Hoxha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 77' Another change for Albania made on 77 minute. Armando Broja leaves to be changed by Rey Manaj.
  • 82' italy is showing some good football. However, italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 83' Mateo Retegui has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gianluca Scamacca on 83 minute.
  • 87' Ernest Muci gets the nod from Albania. He replaces Nedim Bajrami and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Italy team. Nicolo Barella is replaced by Michael Folorunsho on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — italy 2-1 albania.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Albania Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Albania xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy54% Draw24% Albania22%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Albania
46%
Italy or Albania
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Italy37% Draw44% Albania19%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Albania covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Albania keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.