Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Italy vs Albania, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Italy
2 – 1
Full Time
Albania
Sat 15 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 60,512 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Nedim Bajrami
Alessandro Bastoni 11' 1–1
Nicolo Barella 16' 2–1
Lorenzo Pellegrini 21' Y
Riccardo Calafiori 51' Y
Y 51' Armando Broja
Y 74' Arber Hoxha

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Albania — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Albania 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Italy 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Albania
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-15 Italy 2–1 Albania

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W
26 Jun Austria H 2–1 W
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
Albania
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Italy A 1–2 L
05 May AS Roma H 2–2 D
28 Apr FC Porto A 0–1 L
21 Apr Valencia CF H 2–0 W
14 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 3–2 W
10 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
0% Clean Sheets
Albania this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Albania
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G
Albania
Qazim Laci 1 G
Klaus Gjasula 1 G
Nedim Bajrami 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Signal Iduna Park!
  • 1' Nedim Bajrami makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Albania are in front.
  • 6' Both keepers have barely been tested. Italy and Albania are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alessandro Bastoni makes it 1-1.
  • 16' Nicolo Barella is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 21' Italy receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 36' Albania are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Jasir Asani needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 51' A moment of madness from Riccardo Calafiori on 51 minutes earns him a card. Italy will be frustrated.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' Another change for Albania made on 68 minute. Jasir Asani leaves to be changed by Arber Hoxha.
  • 73' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 74' That is a card for Albania. Arber Hoxha will be fuming at that decision.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Rey Manaj. He replaces Armando Broja on 77 minute.
  • 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Gianluca Scamacca as he leaves the pitch. Mateo Retegui steps in for Italy.
  • 87' Albania make a change. Nedim Bajrami trudges off to be replaced by Ernest Muci on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Michael Folorunsho. He replaces Nicolo Barella on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Albania Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Albania xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy54% Draw24% Albania22%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Albania
46%
Italy or Albania
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Italy37% Draw44% Albania19%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Albania covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Albania keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.