Real Salt Lake vs San Diego FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Salt Lake vs San Diego FC — MLS at America First Field.
- Real Salt Lake 34 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- San Diego FC 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | San Diego FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Real Salt Lake | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | St. Louis City | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Feb | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Salt Lake | San Diego FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #28 |
| 45 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 6 / 15 | W / D / L | 9 / 11 / 14 |
| 53 | Scored | 57 |
| 52 | Conceded | 63 |
| +1 | GD | -6 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 38% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
24%
Clean Sheets
San Diego FC this season
San Diego FC this season
Real Salt Lake are 24th (45 pts). San Diego FC are 28th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Salt Lake
0-15
9/7
16-30
5/7
31-45
6/6
46-60
8/7
61-75
7/7
76+
8/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Diego FC
0-15
7/10
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/12
46-60
7/5
61-75
7/8
76+
10/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Salt Lake
| Sergi Solans | 15 G | 4 A |
| Zavier Gozo | 6 G | 3 A |
San Diego FC
| Anders Dreyer | 14 G | 12 A |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 12 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Real Salt Lake welcome San Diego FC for this crunch clash at America First Field.
- 5' A quiet spell here at America First Field. San Diego FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Salt Lake in their trying to find a way past San Diego FC's compact .
- 15' USA international Justen Glad has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 17' The deadlock is broken! Ariath Piol gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
- 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Salt Lake needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 27' Christopher McVey, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 32' San Diego FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Javain Brown suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' GOAL! Franco Negri fires home to make it 1-1!
- 48' Diego Luna has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
- 53' Braian Ojeda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 193 appearances.
- 54' Ian Pilcher gets the nod from San Diego FC. He replaces Paddy McNair and will look to change the dynamic.
- 55' The Real Salt Lake manager makes a substitution. Alexandros Katranis departs to be replaced by Sam Junqua.
- 60' It looks like no one’s ball. San Diego FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 64' San Diego FC make a change. Luca de la Torre trudges off to be replaced by Onni Valakari on 64 minutes.
- 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Braian Ojeda on 69 minutes.
- 70' Real Salt Lake make a change. Diego Luna trudges off to be replaced by Forster Ajago on 70 minutes.
- 73' Franco Negri makes way for Luca Bombino at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from San Diego FC.
- 74' The San Diego FC bench stirs into life. Jasper Loffelsend is withdrawn and Willy Kumado gets his opportunity.
- 76' The referee calls foul for Rafael Cabral. He receives a card.
- 77' San Diego FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Justen Glad. He receives a card.
- 83' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering San Diego FC that had 68 games and scored 110 goals.
- 85' Another change for Real Salt Lake made on 85 minute. Dominik Marczuk leaves to be changed by Bode Davis.
- 90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jason Grubb might look to freshen things up shortly.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. San Diego FC take all three points.
Lineups
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 98
- 6
-
91
Javain Brown ↓ Kobi Henry 70'
- 26
-
8
Diego Luna ↓ Forster Ajago 70'
- 14
- 1
-
23
Ariath Piol ↓ Tyler Wolff 70'
-
11
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Bode Davis 85'
Bench
- 17
- 31
-
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 55'
- 4
-
16
Tyler Wolff ↑ 70'
-
19
Bode Davis ↑ 85'
- 13
-
27
Forster Ajago ↑ 70'
-
3
Kobi Henry ↑ 70'
Coach
Pablo Mastroeni
San Diego FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
17
Paddy McNair ↓ Ian Pilcher 54'
- 20
- 7
- 10
-
22
Franco Negri ↓ Luca Bombino 73'
- 97
- 19
- 1
-
9
Tomas Angel ↓ Emmanuel Boateng 64'
- 6
Bench
- 13
- 77
-
8
Onni Valakari ↑ 64'
-
24
Emmanuel Boateng ↑ 64'
- 70
-
2
Willy Kumado ↑ 74'
- 5
-
27
Luca Bombino ↑ 73'
-
25
Ian Pilcher ↑ 54'
Coach
Jason Grubb
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Luna | 3 |
| Sergi Solans | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Anders Dreyer | 2 |
| Sam Junqua | 1 |
| Hirving Lozano | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Ariath Piol | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Salt Lake Form
2025-03-09
Real Salt Lake
1–3
San Diego FC
L
2025-03-01
Real Salt Lake
2–0
Seattle Sounders FC
W
2025-02-23
San Jose Earthquakes
4–0
Real Salt Lake
L
2024-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2024-10-06
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Real Salt Lake
W
2024-10-03
Real Salt Lake
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
Real Salt Lake xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97
San Diego FC xG
I would bet for:
Real Salt Lake or San Diego FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: San Diego FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Real Salt Lake or Draw
57%
Draw or San Diego FC
69%
Real Salt Lake or San Diego FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Real Salt Lake
| Handicap | Real Salt Lake covers | Push | San Diego FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
San Diego FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

