Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at BBVA Compass Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee Allen Chapman
- Referee Daniel Radford
- Referee Luis Guardia
- Referee Chris Elliott
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | A | 5–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | FC Dallas | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #25 |
| 51 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 11 / 12 |
| 43 | Scored | 56 |
| 43 | Conceded | 58 |
| +0 | GD | -2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/5
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/5
76+
11/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds BBVA Compass Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC.
- 5' It looks surprising Minnesota United FC does not make any changes. Marlon Hairston has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Houston Dynamo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
- 20' Minnesota United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 28' A goal from the Colombia international Darwin Quintero! He fires home on 28 to make it 1-0!
- 33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Houston Dynamo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Houston Dynamo must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Minnesota United FC that had 301 games and scored 449 goals.
- 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
- 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Minnesota United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' Fresh legs for Houston Dynamo! Alberth Elis comes on to replace Niko Hansen.
- 59' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Robin Lod exits the field as Ethan Finlay enters on 59.
- 60' Kevin Molino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raheem Edwards on 60 minute.
- 65' Ariel Lassiter doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 70' Ariel Lassiter adds to his 8 season tally! Houston Dynamo lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 71' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Jan Gregus has done his job and it is now time for Emanuel Reynoso to step up.
- 72' The Minnesota United FC bench stirs into life. Marlon Hairston is withdrawn and Jacori Hayes gets his opportunity.
- 74' Boniek Garcia is replacing Darwin Quintero for the Houston Dynamo side.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aljaz Struna on 78.
- 79' Houston Dynamo player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 82' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Matias Vera by Wilfried Zahibo on 82 minute.
- 84' A moment of madness from Michael Boxall on 84 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Minnesota United FC will be frustrated.
- 89' The 36-year-old Aljaz Struna has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Wilfried Zahibo.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Houston Dynamo players.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 15
- 3
- 24
- 8
- 4
- 13
-
12
Niko Hansen ↓ Alberth Elis 55'
-
23
Darwin Quintero ↓ Boniek Garcia 74'
- 1
-
22
Matias Vera C ↓ Wilfried Zahibo 82'
Bench
-
6
Wilfried Zahibo ↑ 82'
- 55
-
27
Boniek Garcia ↑ 74'
- 10
-
7
Alberth Elis ↑ 55'
- 2
- 29
-
11
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 55'
-
17
Niccolo Lemoine ↑ 82'
Coach
Tab Ramos
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Ethan Finlay 59'
-
44
Raheem Edwards ↓ Kevin Molino 60'
-
94
Marlon Hairston ↓ Jacori Hayes 72'
- 15
-
23
Mason Toye ↓ Luis Amarilla 59'
-
8
Jan Gregus ↓ Emanuel Reynoso 71'
- 18
- 31
- 77
- 41
Bench
-
5
Jacori Hayes ↑ 72'
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↑ 59'
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 60'
- 4
-
10
Emanuel Reynoso ↑ 71'
-
9
Luis Amarilla ↑ 59'
- 97
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Darwin Quintero | 2 |
| Franco Fragapane | 2 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-09-03
Houston Dynamo
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-08-30
FC Dallas
3–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-08-21
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Sporting Kansas City
L
2020-08-07
Orlando City SC
3–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-08-02
San Jose Earthquakes
1–4
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-07-29
Columbus Crew SC
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
82%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
43%
Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

