Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs SBV Excelsior, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sun 12 May 2019 · 12:30 UTC Polman Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie at Polman Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Referee Charles Schaap
  • Referee Jan de Vries
  • Referee J. van der Laan
  • Referee Edgar Bijl
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

3
1
2
Heracles Almelo 6 games · Avg 4.2 goals SBV Excelsior

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May SBV Excelsior H 4–5 L
23 Apr AZ A 1–2 L
19 Apr SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
13 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–2 L
06 Apr NAC Breda H 1–0 W
02 Apr Willem II Tilburg H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Heracles Almelo A 5–4 W
25 Apr ADO Den Haag A 1–3 L
21 Apr Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
13 Apr AFC Ajax A 2–6 L
06 Apr FC Groningen A 0–1 L
03 Apr NAC Breda H 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.35 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo46% Draw23% SBV Excelsior31%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
69%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
54%
Heracles Almelo or SBV Excelsior
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo38% Draw37% SBV Excelsior25%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
3 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 19% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 14% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
17%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.