Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sat 11 Aug 2018 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Referee Dave Goossens
  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Bas van Dongen
  • Referee Laurens Gerrets
7 games this season 🟨 0.1/game 3.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

10
2
2
AFC Ajax 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals Heracles Almelo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
07 Aug Royal Standard de Liège A 2–2 D
01 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 3–1 W
25 Jul SK Sturm Graz H 2–0 W
06 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–5 L
28 Apr AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–1 D
12 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–4 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo get this one started.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Erik ten Hag might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact .
  • 35' Tim Breukers needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' Mohammed Osman has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' AFC Ajax have won 817 goals from 480 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Frenkie de Jong comes on to replace Maximilian Wober.
  • 61' Kaj Sierhuis is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
  • 65' Heracles Almelo player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 77' Brandley Kuwas makes way for Alexander Merkel at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 79' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Wout Droste has done his job and it is now time for Tim Breukers to step up.
  • 82' The whistle greets Bart van Hintum as he departs to be replaced by Lennart-Marten Czyborra.
  • 84' What a strike from Kristoffer Peterson! The score is 0-1.
  • 85' Zakaria Labyad gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces David Neres and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' The deadlock is broken! Matthijs de Ligt gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Tim Breukers on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax43% Draw29% Heracles Almelo28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
73%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
57%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax28% Draw51% Heracles Almelo21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.