Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sat 11 Aug 2018 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Referee Dave Goossens
  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Bas van Dongen
  • Referee Laurens Gerrets
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

10
2
2
AFC Ajax 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals Heracles Almelo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
07 Aug Royal Standard de Liege A 2–2 D
01 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 3–1 W
25 Jul SK Sturm Graz H 2–0 W
06 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–5 L
28 Apr AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–1 D
12 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–4 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Ajax welcome Heracles Almelo for this crunch clash at .
  • 5' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Noussair Mazraoui is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Andre Onana has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' Heracles Almelo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact .
  • 50' Heracles Almelo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' Frenkie de Jong gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Maximilian Wober and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' Maximilian Wober needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 65' Heracles Almelo player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 70' Lerin Duarte has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 75' Donny van de Beek has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' Alexander Merkel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brandley Kuwas on 77 minute.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Wout Droste is replaced by Tim Breukers.
  • 82' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Bart van Hintum departs to be replaced by Lennart-Marten Czyborra.
  • 84' Brilliant from the ! Kristoffer Peterson makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 84.
  • 85' Zakaria Labyad is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Neres at the 85 minute mark.
  • 88' The Netherlands Matthijs de Ligt breaks the deadlock on 88 minutes. 1-1!
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Tim Breukers. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax43% Draw29% Heracles Almelo28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
73%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
57%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax28% Draw51% Heracles Almelo21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.