Hamburger SV vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2014

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1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014

Hamburger SV

1 – 4

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Fri 28 Nov 2014 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hamburger SV 2.25

Draw 3.40

FC Erzgebirge Aue 3.10

Head-to-Head

Hamburger SV 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2014-11-28 Hamburger SV 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Nov	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	1–4	L
22 Nov	SV Linx 1949	A	2–2	D
08 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–0	W
02 Nov	Karlsruher SC	A	1–0	W
25 Oct	MSV Duisburg	A	0–2	L
18 Oct	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	1–2	L

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Nov	Hamburger SV	A	4–1	W
23 Nov	MSV Duisburg	H	0–1	L
08 Nov	Wroxham FC	A	0–2	L
01 Nov	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	0–4	L
25 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	A	5–4	W
18 Oct	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	3–3	D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Erzgebirge Aue kicks off things out of here…
The points are shared — Hamburger SV 1-4 FC Erzgebirge Aue. Honours even.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.39 Hamburger SV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hamburger SV28% Draw24% FC Erzgebirge Aue48%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw

52%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

72%

Hamburger SV or FC Erzgebirge Aue

76%

Half-Time Result

Hamburger SV20% Draw40% FC Erzgebirge Aue40%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.5%

1 – 2

0 – 2

6.7%

1 – 3

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 1

5.8%

0 – 1

5.7%

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 0

4.2%

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap	Hamburger SV covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	13%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	21%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	16%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.