Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .
- Hamburger SV 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | 1. FC Köln | A | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Hamburger SV | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | Manchester City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 31 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 5–3 | W |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | FC København | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Hamburger SV | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #2 |
| 12 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 16 |
| 20 | Conceded | 7 |
| -10 | GD | +9 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
56%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Hamburger SV
| Miro Muheim | 3 G | 1 A |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 4 G | |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabio Silva | 3 G | 2 A |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Hamburger SV and Borussia Dortmund.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
53%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
74%
Hamburger SV or Borussia Dortmund
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

