Granada CF vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Granada CF vs UD Almería — Segunda Division at Nuevo Los Carmenes.
- Granada CF 42 games · 48 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almería 42 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Saul Ais Reig (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almería | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 12 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | UD Almería | H | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Albacete Balompie | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Apr | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | CD Castellon | A | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Apr | UD Las Palmas | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Mar | SD Huesca | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Granada CF | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Apr | Malaga CF | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Real Racing Club de Santander | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | CD Leganes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | CD Castellon | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Real Sociedad B | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Granada CF | UD Almería | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #3 |
| 48 | Points | 75 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 12 / 12 / 18 | W / D / L | 22 / 9 / 11 |
| 50 | Scored | 80 |
| 56 | Conceded | 61 |
| -6 | GD | +19 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 29% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Granada CF are 14th (48 pts). UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Nuevo Los Carmenes. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Granada CF and UD Almería.
- 5' Stefan Dzodic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Granada CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 11' Pedro Aleman doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 14' The deadlock is broken! Sergio Arribas gets on the scoresheet on 14 minutes.
- 18' Sergio Arribas makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and UD Almeria are in front.
- 23' UD Almería is showing some good football. However, UD Almería are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Almería that had 160 games and scored 187 goals.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 37' Granada CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
- 38' Sergio Arribas does the damage! The net is bulging and UD Almeria surge ahead!
- 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
- 46' The whistle greets Sergio Ruiz as he departs to be replaced by Pablo Saenz.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Diego Hormigo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Granada CF.
- 56' Granada CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined UD Almería backline.
- 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 62' UD Almeria player sees a card in front of him.
- 66' A tactical swap from UD Almeria — Arnau Puigmal on, Leo Baptistao off on 66 minutes.
- 68' Miguel adds to his 0 season tally! UD Almeria lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
- 69' Granada CF make a change. Alvaro Lemos trudges off to be replaced by Pau Casadesus on 69 minutes.
- 73' Chumi is replacing Marcos Luna for the UD Almeria side.
- 78' It looks surprising Granada CF does not make any changes. Baila Diallo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 80' Another substitution for UD Almeria to replace Dion Lopy by Andre Horta on 80 minute.
- 83' Sergio Rodelas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Baila Diallo on 83 minute.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Babacar Diocou on 84.
- 89' Loic Williams needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 90' Granada CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ander Astralaga is hanging Luca Zidane on the field on 90 minute.
- Full Time. UD Almería beats Granada CF
Lineups
Granada CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
18
Alvaro Lemos ↓ Pau Casadesus 69'
-
1
Luca Zidane ↓ Ander Astralaga 90'
- 4
-
22
Baila Diallo ↓ Sergio Rodelas 83'
- 8
-
20
Sergio Ruiz ↓ Pablo Saenz 46'
-
3
Diego Hormigo ↓ Izan Gonzalez 46'
-
9
Gonzalo Petit ↓ Babacar Diocou 69'
- 24
- 28
Bench
- 14
- 17
- 23
- 10
-
13
Ander Astralaga ↑ 90'
-
2
Pau Casadesus ↑ 69'
-
21
Pablo Saenz ↑ 46'
-
26
Sergio Rodelas ↑ 83'
-
40
Babacar Diocou ↑ 69'
- 36
-
41
Izan Gonzalez ↑ 46'
Coach
Pacheta
UD Almería Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
12
Leo Baptistao ↓ Arnau Puigmal 66'
- 1
-
23
Adri Embarba ↓ Jon Morcillo 80'
- 24
-
3
Alex Munoz ↓ Alex Centelles 90'
-
17
Dion Lopy ↓ Andre Horta 80'
- 18
- 11
- 29
-
16
Marcos Luna ↓ Chumi 73'
Bench
-
20
Alex Centelles ↑ 90'
- 4
- 13
-
6
Andre Horta ↑ 80'
-
2
Arnau Puigmal ↑ 66'
-
7
Jon Morcillo ↑ 80'
- 8
- 19
-
21
Chumi ↑ 73'
- 31
-
9
Thalys ↑ 80'
Coach
Rubí
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luis Suarez | 4 |
| Sergio Arribas | 3 |
| Myrto Uzuni | 3 |
| Gonzalo Melero | 2 |
| Lucas Boye | 1 |
| Ricard Sanchez | 1 |
| Miguel Rubio | 1 |
| Bryan Zaragoza | 1 |
Head to Head
Granada CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93
Granada CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06
UD Almería xG
I would bet for:
Granada CF or UD Almería 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almería win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Granada CF or Draw
59%
Draw or UD Almería
65%
Granada CF or UD Almería
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: UD Almería win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Granada CF
| Handicap | Granada CF covers | Push | UD Almería covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Granada CF keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

