Grêmio FBPA vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 4–4 | D |
| 15 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #4 |
| 21 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 3 / 6 |
| 20 | Scored | 24 |
| 23 | Conceded | 18 |
| -3 | GD | +6 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 28% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
39%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). CA Paranaense are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 11 G | 1 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena do Gremio. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Erick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 7' A goal from the Argentina international Lucas Besozzi! He fires home on 7 to make it 0-1!
- 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Walter Kannemann, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Paranaense backline.
- 25' It’s a booking for CA Paranaense player. Agustin Canobbio gets a Yellow card.
- 30' Brazil international Pablo Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and CA Paranaense are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 38' What a moment for Bruno Zapelli! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 44' Poor challenge from Luis Suarez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 46' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Pedro is hanging Fabio on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 53' Alex Santana picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 54' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Alex Santana.
- 57' A moment of madness from Thiago Heleno on 57 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 58' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Reinaldo.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 326 games and scored 383 goals.
- 68' Romulo Cruz gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Vitor Bueno and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Lucas Esquivel is having his name booked by the referee on 73.
- 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' Kaique Rocha gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Pablo Felipe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Luciano Arriagada. He replaces Franco Cristaldo on 82 minute.
- 85' Tomas Cuello catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
- 90' Poor challenge from Kaique Rocha. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- With this win, CA Paranaense is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 4
- 14
- 6
- 2
- 9
- 19
- 23
- 21
- 22
- 12
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 34
- 18
- 10
- 25
- –
- –
- –
- 77
Coach
Renato Gaucho
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Kaique Rocha 82'
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Hugo Moura 68'
- 28
-
26
Erick ↓ Alex Santana 46'
- 10
- 1
- 37
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Romulo Cruz 68'
- 14
Bench
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 46'
- 11
-
4
Kaique Rocha ↑ 82'
-
17
Hugo Moura ↑ 68'
- 32
- 19
- 21
- 21
-
35
Romulo Cruz ↑ 68'
- 24
- 42
- –
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santos | 2 |
| Pedro Rocha | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Cuiabano | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Matheus | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
59%
Draw or CA Paranaense
71%
Grêmio FBPA or CA Paranaense
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
11%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

