Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho.
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Bruno Boschilia
- Referee Sidmar dos Santos Meurer
- Referee Rafael Traci
- Referee Joao Ennio Sobral
- Referee Jose Mendonca da Silva Junior
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Coritiba FBC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | SC Recife | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | SC Recife | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 38 | Points | 33 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 34 | Scored | 29 |
| 28 | Conceded | 25 |
| +6 | GD | +4 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 43% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho. Fluminense FC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Bahia.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 30' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 35' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Danilo Barcelos.
- 50' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Muriel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 53' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Daniel on 53 minutes.
- 58' Dodi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gilberto exits the field as Saldanha enters on 66.
- 71' Elber is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 72' Fluminense FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nene on 72.
- 76' The whistle greets Fernando Pacheco as he departs to be replaced by Caio Paulista.
- 77' Elber gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Clayson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Ernando is replaced by Nino Paraiba on 80 minute.
- 81' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nino Paraiba is hanging Ernando on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Nene departs to be replaced by Luiz Henrique.
- 90' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 90 minute. Yago Felipe leaves to be changed by Luccas Claro.
- 90' A moment of madness from Digao on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- With this win, Fluminense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Fred C ↓ Felippe Cardoso 76'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Luccas Claro 90'
- 22
- 26
- 25
-
77
Nene ↓ Luiz Henrique 86'
- 14
- 21
- 27
- 33
- 16
Bench
-
4
Luccas Claro ↑ 90'
- 6
- 1
-
70
Caio Paulista ↑ 76'
-
19
Felippe Cardoso ↑ 76'
- 11
- 30
- 40
- 31
- 35
-
34
Luiz Henrique ↑ 86'
- 32
Coach
Odair Hellmann
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
14
Ernando ↓ Nino Paraiba 80'
- 5
- 40
- 25
-
8
Daniel ↓ Marco Antonio 66'
- 1
- 28
- 26
- 9
- 11
Bench
-
2
Nino Paraiba ↑ 80'
-
30
Marco Antonio ↑ 66'
-
7
Elber ↑ 77'
- 18
- 3
- 21
-
70
Fessin ↑ 77'
- 36
- 35
-
99
Saldanha ↑ 66'
- 77
- 79
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Lele | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
49%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.