Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 11 Oct 2020 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho HT 45+5' · FT 45+7'
Y 53' Daniel
Digao 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno Boschilia
  • Referee Sidmar dos Santos Meurer
  • Referee Rafael Traci
  • Referee Joao Ennio Sobral
  • Referee Jose Mendonca da Silva Junior

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct EC Bahia H 1–0 W
07 Oct Goiás EC A 4–2 W
04 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–1 D
28 Sep Coritiba FBC H 4–0 W
20 Sep SC Recife A 0–1 L
13 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
04 Oct SC Recife H 1–2 L
01 Oct Botafogo FR A 2–1 W
26 Sep CA Paranaense A 0–1 L
17 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Fluminense FC EC Bahia
#4 Position #5
48 Points 46
28 Played 28
13 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 6
44 Scored 43
36 Conceded 35
+8 GD +8
1.71 PPG 1.64
46% Win % 43%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fluminense FC to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 394 games and scored 427 goals.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' A moment of madness from Danilo Barcelos on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel is booked for EC Bahia — Yellow card on 53.
  • 58' Daniel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Muriel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Saldanha gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Gilberto and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Fluminense FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
  • 72' Nene makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Fluminense FC are in front.
  • 76' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Fernando Pacheco exits the field as Caio Paulista enters on 76.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Elber. He replaces Clayson on 77 minute.
  • 80' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Nino Paraiba comes on to replace Ernando.
  • 81' Nino Paraiba is replacing Ernando for the EC Bahia side.
  • 86' Luiz Henrique is replacing Nene for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 90' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Yago Felipe is withdrawn and Luccas Claro gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Digao argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • It finishes all square. Fluminense FC and EC Bahia share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC51% Draw25% EC Bahia24%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
49%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC35% Draw46% EC Bahia19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.