FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

FC Tokyo

3 – 2

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Wed 17 Mar 2021 · 09:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+7'

Y 55' Hirokazu Ishihara

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koji Morikawa
Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
Referee Hiroyoshi Takayama
Referee Hiroki Katsumata
Referee Kota Watanabe

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tokyo 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2021-03-17 FC Tokyo 3–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-04 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 FC Tokyo 2020-08-23 FC Tokyo 3–0 Shonan Bellmare 2019-11-23 FC Tokyo 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2019-03-02 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–2	W
14 Mar	Oita FC Trinita	A	1–1	D
10 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	2–3	L
06 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	3–2	W
27 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
19 Dec	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	FC Tokyo	A	2–3	L
13 Mar	Vegalta Sendai	H	3–1	W
10 Mar	Kashima Antlers	A	1–3	L
06 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–2	L
27 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–1	L
19 Dec	Vegalta Sendai	A	0–0	D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Ajinomoto Stadium as FC Tōkyō face off against Shonan Bellmare in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' Satoshi Tanaka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Takuya Okamoto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tōkyō.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
27' Naoki Yamada has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 27 minutes.
32' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuki Ohashi suffering a number of foals already.
38' Against the run of play, Kyosuke Tagawa has scored! This game has turned on its head.
40' Magnificent from Diego Oliveira! That is 87 goals in 437 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
45' FC Tōkyō are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
55' Hirokazu Ishihara is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
56' The whistle greets Arthur as he departs to be replaced by Shuto Abe.
57' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Ryoma Watanabe exits the field as Adailton enters on 57.
62' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
67' It is a substitution in Shonan Bellmare team. Shuto Machino is replaced by Naoki Ishihara on 67 minute.
68' The whistle greets Kazunari Ono as he departs to be replaced by Hidetoshi Miyuki.
73' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
78' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
79' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Takuya Uchida comes on to replace Kyosuke Tagawa.
79' A goal from the Japan international Ryo Takahashi! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-4!
80' Shota Kobayashi gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Takuya Okamoto and will look to change the dynamic.
81' The Japan Tsuyoshi Watanabe breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 0-5!
83' The whistle greets Diego Oliveira as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
88' It is a substitution in Shonan Bellmare team. Naoki Yamada is replaced by Akimi Barada on 88 minute.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

22
Kazuki Oiwa
33
Shuto Machino ↓ Naoki Ishihara 67'
1
Kosei Tani
20
Shintaro Nago
10
Naoki Yamada ↓ Akimi Barada 88'
6
Takuya Okamoto C ↓ Shota Kobayashi 80'
3
Hirokazu Ishihara
42
Ryo Takahashi
8
Kazunari Ono ↓ Hidetoshi Miyuki 68'
17
Yuki Ohashi
32
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Koki Tachi 80'

Bench

5
Shota Kobayashi ↑ 80'
13
Naoki Ishihara ↑ 67'
23
Daiki Tomii
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 80'
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 88'
29
Hidetoshi Miyuki ↑ 68'
40
Riuler

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	4
Kensuke Nagai	3
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Machino	2
Yojiro Takahagi	1
Leandro	1
Alexander Scholz	1
Kosuke Taketomi	1

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2021-03-17 FC Tokyo 3–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2021-03-14 Oita FC Trinita 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2021-03-10 FC Tokyo 2–3 Vissel Kobe L 2021-03-06 FC Tokyo 3–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2021-02-27 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2020-12-19 FC Tokyo 1–0 Vissel Kobe W

Shonan Bellmare Form

2021-03-17 FC Tokyo 3–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-03-13 Shonan Bellmare 3–1 Vegalta Sendai W 2021-03-10 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-03-06 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-12-19 Vegalta Sendai 0–0 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo55% Draw23% Shonan Bellmare22%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

78%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

45%

FC Tokyo or Shonan Bellmare

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tokyo37% Draw43% Shonan Bellmare20%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

6.3%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.