FC Tōkyō vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

FC Tōkyō

3 – 2

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Wed 17 Mar 2021 · 09:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+7'

Y 55' Hirokazu Ishihara

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koji Morikawa
Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
Referee Hiroyoshi Takayama
Referee Hiroki Katsumata
Referee Kota Watanabe

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2021-03-17 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-04 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 FC Tōkyō 2020-08-23 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Shonan Bellmare 2019-11-23 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2019-03-02 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–2	W
14 Mar	Ōita FC Trinita	A	1–1	D
10 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	2–3	L
06 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	3–2	W
27 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
19 Dec	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	FC Tōkyō	A	2–3	L
13 Mar	Vegalta Sendai	H	3–1	W
10 Mar	Kashima Antlers	A	1–3	L
06 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–2	L
27 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–1	L
19 Dec	Vegalta Sendai	A	0–0	D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	5 G	2 A
Marcelo Ryan	3 G	2 A
Soma Anzai	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! FC Tōkyō vs Shonan Bellmare — let the football do the talking.
5' Kosei Tani has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 441 games and scored 404 goals.
15' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
20' Diego Oliveira is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shonan Bellmare so far.
25' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Tōkyō must find a spark to ignite this game.
27' Brilliant from the ! Naoki Yamada makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 27.
32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
37' Takumi Nakamura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shonan Bellmare tonight.
38' A goal from the Japan international Kyosuke Tagawa! He fires home on 38 to make it 0-2!
40' Diego Oliveira has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
45' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Keigo Higashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
50' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
55' A moment of madness from Hirokazu Ishihara on 55 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Shonan Bellmare will be frustrated.
56' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shuto Abe is hanging Arthur on the field on 56 minute.
57' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Ryoma Watanabe is replaced by Adailton on 57 minute.
62' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
67' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Naoki Ishihara.
68' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hidetoshi Miyuki is hanging Kazunari Ono on the field on 68 minute.
73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
78' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
79' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Kyosuke Tagawa is replaced by Takuya Uchida on 79 minute.
79' The deadlock is broken! Ryo Takahashi gets on the scoresheet on 79 minutes.
80' The crowd applauds Takuya Okamoto as he leaves the pitch. Shota Kobayashi steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
81' Against the run of play, Tsuyoshi Watanabe has scored! This game has turned on its head.
83' Kensuke Nagai gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Diego Oliveira and will look to change the dynamic.
88' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 88 minute. Naoki Yamada leaves to be changed by Akimi Barada.
The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

22
Kazuki Oiwa
33
Shuto Machino ↓ Naoki Ishihara 67'
1
Kosei Tani
20
Shintaro Nago
10
Naoki Yamada ↓ Akimi Barada 88'
6
Takuya Okamoto C ↓ Shota Kobayashi 80'
3
Hirokazu Ishihara
42
Ryo Takahashi
8
Kazunari Ono ↓ Hidetoshi Miyuki 68'
17
Yuki Ohashi
32
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Koki Tachi 80'

Bench

5
Shota Kobayashi ↑ 80'
13
Naoki Ishihara ↑ 67'
23
Daiki Tomii
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 80'
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 88'
29
Hidetoshi Miyuki ↑ 68'
40
Riuler

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	4
Kensuke Nagai	3
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Machino	2
Taichi Hara	1
Henrique Trevisan	1
Adailton	1
Daiki Sugioka	1

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2021-03-17 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-03-14 Ōita FC Trinita 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2021-03-10 FC Tōkyō 2–3 Vissel Kobe W 2021-03-06 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2021-02-27 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2020-12-19 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Vissel Kobe L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2021-03-17 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-03-13 Shonan Bellmare 3–1 Vegalta Sendai W 2021-03-10 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-03-06 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-12-19 Vegalta Sendai 0–0 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo55% Draw23% Shonan Bellmare22%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

78%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

45%

FC Tokyo or Shonan Bellmare

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tokyo37% Draw43% Shonan Bellmare20%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

6.3%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.