FC Tōkyō vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

FC Tōkyō

2 – 2

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sat 14 Jun 2025 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-06-14 FC Tōkyō 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2025-04-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 FC Tōkyō 2024-12-08 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-02-24 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 FC Tōkyō 2023-08-06 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–2	D
31 May	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	0–3	L
25 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–3	L
17 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–3	L
10 May	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jun	FC Tōkyō	A	2–2	D
01 Jun	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–2	W
28 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D
24 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–0	W
18 May	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–2	L
11 May	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō		Cerezo Osaka FC
#12	Position	#2
37	Points	31
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
55	Scored	48
42	Conceded	38
+13	GD	+10
2.06	PPG	1.72
72%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium!
3' What composure from Marcelo Ryan! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
8' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
13' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
18' FC Tōkyō is showing some good football. However, FC Tōkyō are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
23' Shinnosuke Hatanaka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
28' Motohiko Nakajima is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tōkyō tonight.
33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
38' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
41' GOAL! Rafael Ratao scores on 41. Assisted by Shinji Kagawa
46' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Niko Takahashi on, Kyohei Noborizato off on 46 minutes.
51' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' The 33-year-old Kento Hashimoto has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
57' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Vitor Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Motohiko Nakajima to step up.
59' The crowd applauds Soma Anzai as he leaves the pitch. Kota Tawaratsumida steps in for FC Tokyo.
60' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 60 minute. Keigo Higashi leaves to be changed by Kein Sato.
65' Shion Homma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Andrade on 65 minute.
66' Shunta Tanaka gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Shinji Kagawa and will look to change the dynamic.
71' Goal! Shunta Tanaka scores his 19 goal in 83 matches.
75' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Keita Endo is replaced by Leon Nozawa.
80' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 370 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
81' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 0-4.
84' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everton is hanging Marcelo Ryan on the field on 84 minute.
86' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Rafael Ratao by Masaya Shibayama on 86 minute.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

77
Lucas Fernandes
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Shunta Tanaka 66'
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↓ Niko Takahashi 46'
44
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Masaya Shibayama 86'
5
Hinata Kida
33
Ryuya Nishio
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Motohiko Nakajima 57'
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 65'
16
Hayato Okuda
1
Koki Fukui

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ryoma Watanabe	5
Leandro	4
Diego Oliveira	3
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Ryotaro Araki	2
Shunta Tanaka	2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto	2
Rafael Ratao	2

Head to Head

FC Tōkyō Form

2025-06-14 FC Tōkyō 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-05-31 Kyōto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō L 2025-05-25 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-05-17 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–2 FC Tōkyō L 2025-05-10 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Vissel Kobe W 2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō W

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-06-14 FC Tōkyō 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-06-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-05-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-05-24 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-05-18 Kawasaki Frontale 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-05-11 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Yokohama F·Marinos W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.46 FC Tōkyō xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.01 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tōkyō47% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw

69%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

53%

FC Tōkyō or Cerezo Osaka FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tōkyō38% Draw35% Cerezo Osaka FC27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

5.5%

3 – 2

5.5%

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

3.7%

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.4%

4 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap	FC Tōkyō covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	14%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	18%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	9%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.