FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Estadio Do Dragao.
- FC Porto 8 games · 17 pts (2025/26)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
- Assistant 2
11 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzeň | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Mar | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Moreirense FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fulham FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | FC Midtjylland | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Porto | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 15 |
| 7 | Conceded | 7 |
| +6 | GD | +8 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
FC Porto are 5th (17 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Porto
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Porto
| William da Silva | 4 G | |
| Rodrigo Mora | 3 G | 1 A |
Nottingham Forest FC
| Igor Jesus | 7 G | 1 A |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 3 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC get this one started.
- 5' Nottingham Forest FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker Morgan Gibbs-White scoring 1 goals.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nottingham Forest FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 11' What a strike from William da Silva! The score is 1-0.
- 13' Goal! Martim Fernandes scores his 1 goal in 491 matches.
- 15' The referee has no hesitation. Gabriel Veiga is booked for FC Porto — card on 15.
- 19' Another change for FC Porto made on 19 minute. Martim Fernandes leaves to be changed by Alberto Baio.
- 24' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vítor Pereira might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
- 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 44' Zaidu Sanusi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Porto tonight.
- 46' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Murillo is replaced by Nikola Milenkovic on 46 minute.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Porto side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 59' The crowd applauds Terem Moffi as he leaves the pitch. Deniz Gul steps in for FC Porto.
- 60' Omari Hutchinson gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Morgan Gibbs-White and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Dilane Bakwa is withdrawn and Neco Williams gets his opportunity.
- 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Porto that had 491 games and scored 697 goals.
- 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Morgan Gibbs-White suffering a number of foals already.
- 74' Alan Varela has so much to prove this time. He replaces Seko Fofana on 74 minute.
- 79' Terem Moffi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 84' Nicolas Dominguez, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 89' Ryan Yates is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Porto so far.
- It finishes all square. FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 3
-
42
Seko Fofana ↓ Alan Varela 74'
-
29
Terem Moffi ↓ Deniz Gul 59'
- 99
- 12
-
17
Borja Sainz ↓ Pepe 59'
-
10
Gabriel Veiga ↓ Victor Froholdt 59'
- 7
-
52
Martim Fernandes ↓ Alberto Baio 19'
Bench
- 24
-
11
Pepe ↑ 59'
- 14
- 74
-
22
Alan Varela ↑ 74'
- 4
-
20
Alberto Baio ↑ 19'
-
27
Deniz Gul ↑ 59'
-
8
Victor Froholdt ↑ 59'
- 86
- 21
- 58
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Igor Jesus 46'
- 22
- 10
- 27
- 16
- 4
- 14
-
29
Dilane Bakwa ↓ Neco Williams 61'
-
24
James McAtee ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 74'
-
5
Murillo ↓ Nikola Milenkovic 46'
- 44
Bench
- 20
- 7
-
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 74'
- 26
- 34
-
31
Nikola Milenkovic ↑ 46'
-
3
Neco Williams ↑ 61'
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↑ 60'
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 46'
- 65
- 61
- 51
Coach
Vítor Pereira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| William da Silva | 1 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Porto Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-15
Nottingham Forest FC
0–0
Fulham FC
D
2026-03-12
Nottingham Forest FC
0–1
FC Midtjylland
L
2026-03-04
Manchester City FC
2–2
Nottingham Forest FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15
FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
FC Porto or Draw
62%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
66%
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Porto
| Handicap | FC Porto covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

