FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Estadio Do Dragao.
- FC Porto 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
- Assistant 2
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 11.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Mar | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Moreirense FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fulham FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | FC Midtjylland | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Porto | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 15 |
| 7 | Conceded | 7 |
| +6 | GD | +8 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Porto are 5th (17 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Porto welcome Nottingham Forest FC for this crunch clash at Estadio Do Dragao.
- 5' Murillo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 11' William da Silva is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 13' Martim Fernandes adds to his 0 season tally! FC Porto lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 15' That is a card for FC Porto. Gabriel Veiga will be fuming at that decision.
- 19' Alberto Baio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Martim Fernandes at the 19 minute mark.
- 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dilane Bakwa suffering a number of foals already.
- 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 39' FC Porto are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nottingham Forest FC backline.
- 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Zaidu Sanusi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nottingham Forest FC.
- 46' The crowd applauds Murillo as he leaves the pitch. Nikola Milenkovic steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' Jan Bednarek, a Poland , has 48 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 59' Fresh legs for FC Porto! Deniz Gul comes on to replace Terem Moffi.
- 60' Morgan Gibbs-White makes way for Omari Hutchinson at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nottingham Forest FC.
- 61' Neco Williams is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dilane Bakwa at the 61 minute mark.
- 66' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 71' FC Porto started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 74' Another substitution for FC Porto to replace Seko Fofana by Alan Varela on 74 minute.
- 79' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 3
-
42
Seko Fofana ↓ Alan Varela 74'
-
29
Terem Moffi ↓ Deniz Gul 59'
- 99
- 12
-
17
Borja Sainz ↓ Pepe 59'
-
10
Gabriel Veiga ↓ Victor Froholdt 59'
- 7
-
52
Martim Fernandes ↓ Alberto Baio 19'
Bench
- 24
-
11
Pepe ↑ 59'
- 14
- 74
-
22
Alan Varela ↑ 74'
- 4
-
20
Alberto Baio ↑ 19'
-
27
Deniz Gul ↑ 59'
-
8
Victor Froholdt ↑ 59'
- 86
- 21
- 58
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Igor Jesus 46'
- 22
- 10
- 27
- 16
- 4
- 14
-
29
Dilane Bakwa ↓ Neco Williams 61'
-
24
James McAtee ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 74'
-
5
Murillo ↓ Nikola Milenkovic 46'
- 44
Bench
- 20
- 7
-
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 74'
- 26
- 34
-
31
Nikola Milenkovic ↑ 46'
-
3
Neco Williams ↑ 61'
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↑ 60'
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 46'
- 65
- 61
- 51
Coach
Vítor Pereira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 |
| William da Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Porto Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-15
Nottingham Forest FC
0–0
Fulham FC
D
2026-03-12
Nottingham Forest FC
0–1
FC Midtjylland
L
2026-03-04
Manchester City FC
2–2
Nottingham Forest FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15
FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
FC Porto or Draw
62%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
66%
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Porto
| Handicap | FC Porto covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

