Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Thu 9 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao 46,479 HT 45' · FT 45'
William da Silva 11' 1–0
1–1 13' Martim Fernandes og

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FCEurope at Estadio Do Dragao.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
  • Assistant 2
11 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
2
FC Porto 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
04 Apr FC Famalicão H 2–2 D
22 Mar Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
19 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W
15 Mar Moreirense FC H 3–0 W
12 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr FC Porto A 1–1 D
22 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–0 W
19 Mar FC Midtjylland A 5–1 W
15 Mar Fulham FC H 0–0 D
12 Mar FC Midtjylland H 0–1 L
04 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Porto Nottingham Forest FC
#5 Position #13
17 Points 14
8 Played 8
5 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
13 Scored 15
7 Conceded 7
+6 GD +8
2.13 PPG 1.75
63% Win % 50%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
44% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

FC Porto are 5th (17 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Porto
William da Silva 4 G
Rodrigo Mora 3 G 1 A
Nottingham Forest FC
Igor Jesus 7 G 1 A
Morgan Gibbs-White 3 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC get this one started.
  • 5' Nottingham Forest FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker Morgan Gibbs-White scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nottingham Forest FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 11' What a strike from William da Silva! The score is 1-0.
  • 13' Goal! Martim Fernandes scores his 1 goal in 491 matches.
  • 15' The referee has no hesitation. Gabriel Veiga is booked for FC Porto — card on 15.
  • 19' Another change for FC Porto made on 19 minute. Martim Fernandes leaves to be changed by Alberto Baio.
  • 24' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vítor Pereira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' Zaidu Sanusi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Porto tonight.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Murillo is replaced by Nikola Milenkovic on 46 minute.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Porto side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Terem Moffi as he leaves the pitch. Deniz Gul steps in for FC Porto.
  • 60' Omari Hutchinson gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Morgan Gibbs-White and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Dilane Bakwa is withdrawn and Neco Williams gets his opportunity.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Porto that had 491 games and scored 697 goals.
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Morgan Gibbs-White suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' Alan Varela has so much to prove this time. He replaces Seko Fofana on 74 minute.
  • 79' Terem Moffi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 84' Nicolas Dominguez, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 89' Ryan Yates is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Porto so far.
  • It finishes all square. FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Porto34% Draw28% Nottingham Forest FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
62%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
66%
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto22% Draw48% Nottingham Forest FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
24%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.