FC Porto vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Porto vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .
- FC Porto 33 games · 85 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 33 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 33 | 85 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 32 | 80 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 33 | 77 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 33 | 47 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 33 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 33 | 42 |
| 9 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 10 | Vitória SC | 33 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 33 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 33 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 33 | 33 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 33 | 31 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 33 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 32 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 32 | 27 |
| 18 | AVS | 33 | 20 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Casa Pia AC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | Gil Vicente FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | Vitória SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Al Ahly SC | H | 4–4 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | FC Porto | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Casa Pia AC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Aug | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Aug | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | FC Porto | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Porto | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #14 |
| 85 | Points | 31 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 27 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 8 / 7 / 18 |
| 64 | Scored | 35 |
| 17 | Conceded | 45 |
| +47 | GD | -10 |
| 2.58 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 82% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Porto are 1st (85 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (31 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . FC Porto are looking to make home advantage count against CD Nacional.
- With this win, FC Porto is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yacine Brahimi | 2 |
| Moussa Marega | 2 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Ze Vitor | 1 |
| Moura | 1 |
| Tiquinho Soares | 1 |
| Samu Omorodion | 1 |
| Bryan Rochez | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Porto Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02
FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
FC Porto or Draw
91%
Draw or CD Nacional
30%
FC Porto or CD Nacional
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15.8%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
5.5%
4 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
3.3%
4 – 1
2.9%
5 – 0
2.2%
2 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Porto
| Handicap | FC Porto covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
60%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.