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FC Porto vs AS Roma, 2018-19 ROUND OF 16

UEFA Champions League · 2018-19
3 1
Full Time
Wed 6 Mar 2019 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs AS Roma — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Referee Cuneyt Cakιr
  • Referee Bahattin Duran
  • Referee Tarik Ongun
  • Referee Halis Ozkahya
  • Referee Pawel Gil
14 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar AS Roma H 3–1 W
02 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
22 Feb CD Tondela A 3–0 W
16 Feb Vitoria FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb AS Roma A 1–2 L
08 Feb Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar FC Porto A 1–3 L
02 Mar SS Lazio A 0–3 L
23 Feb Frosinone Calcio A 3–2 W
18 Feb Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
12 Feb FC Porto H 2–1 W
08 Feb AC Chievo Verona A 3–0 W

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Porto and AS Roma get this one started.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Roma is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Porto side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Nicolo Zaniolo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 15.
  • 18' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Hector Herrera.
  • 23' Daniele De Rossi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 26' A stunning finish from Tiquinho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Porto that had 491 games and scored 697 goals.
  • 36' Robin Olsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 37' The deadlock is broken! Daniele De Rossi gets on the scoresheet on 37 minutes.
  • 42' Juan, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Danilo Pereira.
  • 45' The supporters are chanting for Lorenzo Pellegrini. He replaces Daniele De Rossi on 45 minute.
  • 50' FC Porto are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 52' What composure from Moussa Marega! The Mali international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Rick Karsdorp.
  • 55' A tactical swap from AS RomaAlessandro Florenzi on, Rick Karsdorp off on 55 minutes.
  • 58' AS Roma receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AS Roma needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' FC Porto are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 69' FC Porto make a change. Jesus Manuel Corona trudges off to be replaced by Yacine Brahimi on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Bryan Cristante. He replaces Marcano on 77 minute.
  • 78' The whistle greets Tiquinho as he departs to be replaced by Fernando.
  • 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lorenzo Pellegrini.
  • 86' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • Full Time. FC Porto beats AS Roma

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.7 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto50% Draw26% AS Roma24%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
76%
Draw or AS Roma
50%
FC Porto or AS Roma
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto35% Draw45% AS Roma20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
33%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.