FC Metz vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Metz vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .
- FC Metz 34 games · 17 pts (2025/26)
- Toulouse FC 33 games · 44 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Gael Angoula
17 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 34 76 2 Racing Club de Lens 34 70 3 Lille OSC 34 61 4 Olympique Lyonnais 34 60 5 Olympique de Marseille 34 59 6 Stade Rennais FC 1901 34 59 7 AS Monaco FC 34 54 8 RC Strasbourg Alsace 34 53 9 FC Lorient 34 45 10 Toulouse FC 33 44 11 Paris FC 34 44 12 Stade Brestois 29 34 39 13 Angers SCO 34 36 14 Le Havre AC 34 35 15 AJ Auxerre 34 34 16 OGC Nice 34 32 17 FC Nantes 33 23 18 FC Metz 34 17 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 15 Mar Toulouse FC H 3–4 L 08 Mar Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L 01 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 0–1 L 21 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L 15 Feb AJ Auxerre H 1–3 L 06 Feb Lille OSC H 0–0 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 15 Mar FC Metz A 4–3 W 07 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L 28 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L 21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D 15 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–2 L 08 Feb Angers SCO A 0–1 L Season Stats
FC Metz Toulouse FC #18 Position #10 17 Points 44 34 Played 33 3 / 8 / 23 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 13 32 Scored 47 76 Conceded 46 -44 GD +1 0.50 PPG 1.33 9% Win % 36% Key Stats
40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history21% Clean Sheets
FC Metz this season27% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this seasonFC Metz are 18th (17 pts). Toulouse FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Metz0-151/316-30–/231-452/–46-603/261-75–/376+1/6■ Scored ■ ConcededToulouse FC0-153/116-301/431-451/146-60–/261-751/376+3/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- With this win, Toulouse FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
FC Metz Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Efthymios Koulouris 1 Habib Diallo 1 Ibrahima Niane 1 Niklas Schmidt 1 Thijs Dallinga 1 Frank Magri 1 Vincent Sierro 1 Wesley Said 1 Head to Head
FC Metz Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.25 FC Metz xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo2.27 Toulouse FC xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 64%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.52Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 86% 14% ± 2.5 67% 33% ± 3.5 46% 54% ± 4.5 28% 72% Double Chance
FC Metz or Draw 45%Draw or Toulouse FC 78%FC Metz or Toulouse FC 77%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual1 – 2 9.2%1 – 1 9.2%0 – 2 7.7%1 – 3 6.9%0 – 1 6.3%2 – 2 5.7%0 – 3 5.7%2 – 1 5.1%2 – 3 4.3%0 – 0 4.3%1 – 4 4%0 – 4 3.2%Asian Handicap — FC Metz
Handicap FC Metz covers Push Toulouse FC covers -2.5 3% — 97% -2 3% 5% 92% -1.5 8% — 92% -1 8% 11% 81% -0.5 19% — 81% +0.5 41% — 59% +1 41% 21% 38% +1.5 62% — 38% +2 62% 18% 20% +2.5 80% — 20% Clean Sheet
FC Metz keeps clean sheet 11% ✓Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet 29% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

