FC Metz vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Metz vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .
- FC Metz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gael Angoula
6 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Toulouse FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Racing Club de Lens | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | AJ Auxerre | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Feb | Lille OSC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | FC Metz | A | 4–3 | W |
| 07 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Paris FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Angers SCO | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Metz host Toulouse FC — let the battle begin!
- Another three points for Toulouse FC.
Lineups
FC Metz Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vincent Sierro | 1 |
| Wesley Said | 1 |
| Efthymios Koulouris | 1 |
| Habib Diallo | 1 |
| Ibrahima Niane | 1 |
| Niklas Schmidt | 1 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 1 |
| Frank Magri | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Metz Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
FC Metz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Metz or Toulouse FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FC Metz or Draw
55%
Draw or Toulouse FC
71%
FC Metz or Toulouse FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toulouse FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Metz
| Handicap | FC Metz covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 20% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.