Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
FC Machida Zelvia
2 – 1
Full Time
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Fri 27 Feb 2026 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
8 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

2
FC Machida Zelvia 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-27 FC Machida Zelvia 2–1 JEF United Ichihara Chiba

Recent Form

FC Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb JEF United Ichihara Chiba H 2–1 W
21 Feb Tokyo Verdy A 5–6 L
14 Feb FC Mito Holly Hock H 2–2 D
06 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 3–2 W
06 Dec Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
30 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–2 L
22 Feb FC Mito Holly Hock A 1–1 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale H 8–9 L
07 Feb Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–2 L

Season Stats

FC Machida Zelvia JEF United Ichihara Chiba
#13 Position #20
37 Points 12
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 0 / 15
42 Scored 29
33 Conceded 46
+9 GD -17
2.06 PPG 0.67
72% Win % 17%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
6% Clean Sheets
JEF United Ichihara Chiba this season

FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). JEF United Ichihara Chiba are 20th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/4
61-75
2/3
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

JEF United Ichihara Chiba Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.58 FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 JEF United Ichihara Chiba xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Machida Zelvia63% Draw20% JEF United Ichihara Chiba17%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
83%
Draw or JEF United Ichihara Chiba
37%
FC Machida Zelvia or JEF United Ichihara Chiba
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Machida Zelvia49% Draw36% JEF United Ichihara Chiba15%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
4 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push JEF United Ichihara Chiba covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 19% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 20% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
JEF United Ichihara Chiba keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.