FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Toyota Stadium.
- FC Dallas 34 games · 58 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Jun | Minnesota United FC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 16 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jun | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | FC Dallas | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 May | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Toronto FC | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Dallas | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #8 |
| 58 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 16 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 62 | Scored | 67 |
| 51 | Conceded | 75 |
| +11 | GD | -8 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 47% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
FC Dallas this season
FC Dallas this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Dallas are 17th (58 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Dallas
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/7
31-45
10/8
46-60
3/5
61-75
5/10
76+
17/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Dallas
| Petar Musa | 22 G | 5 A |
| Logan Farrington | 10 G | 4 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Dallas kicks off things out of here…
- 5' FC Dallas started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' With 3 assists to his name this season, Pavel Bucha is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 18' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuya Kubo.
- 23' Kipp Keller, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 27' Nolan Norris gets the nod from FC Dallas. He replaces Liam Fraser and will look to change the dynamic.
- 32' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 37' FC Cincinnati have won 378 goals from 261 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 42' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 47' Luca Orellano doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' Petar Musa is replacing Bernard Kamungo for the FC Dallas side.
- 55' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Yamil Asad is replaced by Alvas Powell.
- 56' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Nolan Norris.
- 61' DeAndre Yedlin catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Kelsy on 65 minutes.
- 70' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 75' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 78' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Kevin Kelsy by Sergio Santos on 78 minute.
- 81' The crowd applauds Paul Arriola as he leaves the pitch. Sam Junqua steps in for FC Dallas.
- 82' Sebastien Ibeagha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 87' Isaiah Foster is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luca Orellano at the 87 minute mark.
- 88' Roman Celentano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 88' FC Cincinnati make a change. Gerardo Valenzuela trudges off to be replaced by Aaron Boupendza on 88 minutes.
- 90' Luciano Acosta is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Dallas Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 14
- 8
- 4
-
18
Liam Fraser ↓ Nolan Norris 27'
-
7
Paul Arriola ↓ Sam Junqua 81'
- 25
- 17
-
77
Bernard Kamungo ↓ Petar Musa 54'
-
31
Eugene Ansah ↓ Tarik Scott 54'
- 23
Bench
- 1
- 22
-
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 81'
- 3
- 11
-
9
Petar Musa ↑ 54'
-
32
Nolan Norris ↑ 27'
-
41
Tarik Scott ↑ 54'
-
35
Tomas Pondeca ↑ 81'
Coach
Peter Luccin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
- 7
- 10
-
27
Yamil Asad ↓ Alvas Powell 55'
- 20
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Isaiah Foster 87'
- 32
- 18
-
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Bret Halsey 78'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Sergio Santos 78'
- 22
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 88'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 55'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 78'
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 78'
-
33
Isaiah Foster ↑ 87'
- 37
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
| Michael Barrios | 1 |
| Ryan Hollingshead | 1 |
| Zdenek Ondrasek | 1 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Luca Orellano | 1 |
FC Dallas Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.27
FC Dallas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Dallas or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
55%
FC Dallas or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Dallas
| Handicap | FC Dallas covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 19% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Dallas keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.