FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Toyota Stadium.
- FC Dallas 27 games · 47 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Jun | Minnesota United FC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 16 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jun | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | FC Dallas | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 May | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Toronto FC | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Dallas | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #9 |
| 47 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 13 / 8 / 6 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 50 | Scored | 55 |
| 42 | Conceded | 64 |
| +8 | GD | -9 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 48% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Dallas this season
FC Dallas this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Dallas are 17th (47 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Dallas
0-15
4/5
16-30
8/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/7
76+
11/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Dallas
| Petar Musa | 18 G | 5 A |
| Logan Farrington | 9 G | 3 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Dallas and FC Cincinnati get this one started.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' The 28-year-old Pavel Bucha has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 18' A moment of madness from Yuya Kubo on 18 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 23' FC Dallas started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 27' The supporters are chanting for Nolan Norris. He replaces Liam Fraser on 27 minute.
- 32' FC Dallas seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 47' Goal! Luca Orellano scores his 15 goal in 189 matches.
- 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' Fresh legs for FC Dallas! Petar Musa comes on to replace Bernard Kamungo.
- 55' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Yamil Asad by Alvas Powell on 55 minute.
- 56' Poor challenge from Alvas Powell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Nolan Norris.
- 61' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Kelsy on 65.
- 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 75' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 78' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Kevin Kelsy by Sergio Santos on 78 minute.
- 81' Fresh legs for FC Dallas! Sam Junqua comes on to replace Paul Arriola.
- 82' It’s gonna be a card for Sebastien Ibeagha.
- 87' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Luca Orellano by Isaiah Foster on 87 minute.
- 88' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Roman Celentano will be fuming at that decision.
- 88' Aaron Boupendza has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gerardo Valenzuela on 88 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Luciano Acosta.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Dallas Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 14
- 8
- 4
-
18
Liam Fraser ↓ Nolan Norris 27'
-
7
Paul Arriola ↓ Sam Junqua 81'
- 25
- 17
-
77
Bernard Kamungo ↓ Petar Musa 54'
-
31
Eugene Ansah ↓ Tarik Scott 54'
- 23
Bench
- 1
- 22
-
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 81'
- 3
- 11
-
9
Petar Musa ↑ 54'
-
32
Nolan Norris ↑ 27'
-
41
Tarik Scott ↑ 54'
-
35
Tomas Pondeca ↑ 81'
Coach
Peter Luccin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
- 7
- 10
-
27
Yamil Asad ↓ Alvas Powell 55'
- 20
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Isaiah Foster 87'
- 32
- 18
-
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Bret Halsey 78'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Sergio Santos 78'
- 22
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 88'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 55'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 78'
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 78'
-
33
Isaiah Foster ↑ 87'
- 37
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Luca Orellano | 1 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | 1 |
| Petar Musa | 1 |
| Anderson Julio | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
FC Dallas Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.47
FC Dallas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
FC Dallas or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
53%
FC Dallas or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Dallas
| Handicap | FC Dallas covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Dallas keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

