New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS .
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jair Marrufo
- Referee Oscar Mitchell Carvalho
- Referee Jose Da Silva
- Referee Ricardo Salazar
- Referee
8 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 4.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jul | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 42 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 48 | Scored | 52 |
| 62 | Conceded | 67 |
| -14 | GD | -15 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. New York Red Bulls host Toronto FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Toronto FC have won 390 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Aaron Long has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Nick DeLeon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 28 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Osorio, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean Davis suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Derrick Etienne is replaced by Cristian Casseres on 46 minute.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' Richie Laryea gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Nick DeLeon and will look to change the dynamic.
- 55' Goal! Chris Mavinga scores his 4 goal in 295 matches.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel Royer made 297 appearances and scored 40 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 65' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Nicolas Benezet on, Jacob Shaffelburg off on 65 minutes.
- 68' Cristian Casseres catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 68.
- 70' Aaron Long catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 70.
- 75' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 77' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Laurent Ciman on, Chris Mavinga off on 77 minutes.
- 82' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Brian White has done his job and it is now time for Bradley Wright-Phillips to step up.
- 84' Pozuelo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 84.
- 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Justin Morrow on 89.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for New York Red Bulls players.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 90
- 10
- 77
- 33
- 31
- 26
- 27
- 92
- 7
- 42
- 91
Bench
- 62
- 9
-
99
Bradley Wright-Phillips ↑ 82'
- 18
-
23
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↑ 46'
- 3
- 21
Coach
Chris Armas
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
-
23
Chris Mavinga ↓ Laurent Ciman 77'
- 96
- 4
- 21
- 17
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Richie Laryea 52'
- 24
- 44
Bench
-
7
Nicolas Benezet ↑ 65'
-
26
Laurent Ciman ↑ 77'
- 25
- 8
- 31
- 13
-
22
Richie Laryea ↑ 52'
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
| Brian White | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2019-08-03
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Toronto FC
W
2019-07-27
New York Red Bulls
2–3
Columbus Crew SC
L
2019-07-21
Orlando City SC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2019-07-18
Toronto FC
3–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-07-14
New York Red Bulls
2–1
New York City FC
W
2019-07-07
Atlanta United FC
3–3
New York Red Bulls
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
76%
Draw or Toronto FC
49%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.