Sunday , 16 August 2026

Empoli FC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 29 Sep 2024 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 13,053 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Aureliano
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Domenico Fontemurato

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 0–0 D
20 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
14 Sep Juventus FC H 0–0 D
31 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 1–1 D
25 Aug AS Roma A 2–1 W
17 Aug AC Monza H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Empoli FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep SS Lazio H 2–1 W
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D
25 Aug Venezia FC H 0–0 D
17 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Empoli FC get us underway at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Devis Vasquez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 10' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Mattia Viti is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Raffaele Palladino might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lorenzo Colombo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' Empoli FC are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against ACF Fiorentina's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' Alberto Grassi, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 58' Empoli FC make a change. Lorenzo Colombo trudges off to be replaced by Ola Solbakken on 58 minutes.
  • 63' It is a cagey affair so far. Empoli FC in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 68' Empoli FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 71' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Albert Gudmundsson is replaced by Lucas Beltran on 71 minute.
  • 75' Empoli FC ring the changes. Liam Henderson has done his job and it is now time for Emmanuel Ekong to step up.
  • 76' Empoli FC ring the changes. Sebastiano Esposito has done his job and it is now time for Pietro Pellegri to step up.
  • 81' The whistle greets Christian Kouame as he departs to be replaced by Riccardo Sottil.
  • 85' Empoli FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Haas is hanging Faustino Anjorin on the field on 85 minute.
  • 89' Robin Gosens makes way for Fabiano Parisi at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
  • 90' Pietro Comuzzo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Empoli FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC42% Draw33% ACF Fiorentina25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
75%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
58%
Empoli FC or ACF Fiorentina
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC25% Draw58% ACF Fiorentina17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
2 – 2
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
48%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.