Thursday , 2 July 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen, 2015

Ligue 1 2015/16 · 2015
2 4
Full Time
Fri 27 Nov 2015 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ES Troyes AC 1.57
Draw 3.80
SM Caen 6.50

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov SM Caen H 2–4 L
20 Nov GFC Ajaccio A 0–3 L
08 Nov La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 3–0 W
31 Oct AS Beziers A 1–0 W
23 Oct Amiens SC H 3–0 W
16 Oct Nimes Olympique A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov ES Troyes AC A 4–2 W
21 Nov SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–1 W
07 Nov Red Star FC H 2–1 W
31 Oct Amiens SC A 1–1 D
24 Oct Senegal H 2–0 W
18 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
2.06 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC45% Draw25% SM Caen30%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
70%
Draw or SM Caen
55%
ES Troyes AC or SM Caen
75%

Half-Time Result

ES Troyes AC37% Draw40% SM Caen23%

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.