Sunday , 16 August 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen, 2015

Ligue 1 2015/16 · 2015
2 4
Full Time
Fri 27 Nov 2015 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ES Troyes AC 1.57
Draw 3.80
SM Caen 6.50

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov SM Caen H 2–4 L
20 Nov GFC Ajaccio A 0–3 L
08 Nov La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 3–0 W
31 Oct AS Beziers A 1–0 W
23 Oct Amiens SC H 3–0 W
16 Oct Nimes Olympique A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov ES Troyes AC A 4–2 W
21 Nov SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–1 W
07 Nov Red Star FC H 2–1 W
31 Oct Amiens SC A 1–1 D
24 Oct Senegal H 2–0 W
18 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for ES Troyes AC to score. At the same time, SM Caen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SM Caen take all three points.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
2.06 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC45% Draw25% SM Caen30%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
70%
Draw or SM Caen
55%
ES Troyes AC or SM Caen
75%

Half-Time Result

ES Troyes AC37% Draw40% SM Caen23%

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.