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GFC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
Fri 20 Nov 2015 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GFC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

GFC Ajaccio 3.40
Draw 3.40
ES Troyes AC 2.15

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov ES Troyes AC H 3–0 W
08 Nov FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 1–0 W
04 Nov Red Star FC H 1–2 L
01 Nov Paris FC H 0–0 D
24 Oct Stade Brestois 29 A 1–3 L
18 Oct Valenciennes FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov GFC Ajaccio A 0–3 L
08 Nov La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 3–0 W
31 Oct AS Beziers A 1–0 W
23 Oct Amiens SC H 3–0 W
16 Oct Nimes Olympique A 1–1 D
03 Oct SSV Ulm 1846 H 1–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

GFC Ajaccio Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.55 GFC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
GFC Ajaccio50% Draw27% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: GFC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

GFC Ajaccio or Draw
77%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
50%
GFC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

GFC Ajaccio34% Draw48% ES Troyes AC18%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — GFC Ajaccio

Handicap GFC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

GFC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
38%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.