Thursday , 2 July 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
5 1
Full Time
Sun 19 Oct 2014 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ES Troyes AC 1.73
Draw 3.50
SM Caen 5.00

Head-to-Head

11
4
1
ES Troyes AC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals SM Caen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct SM Caen H 5–1 W
05 Oct Paris FC H 3–0 W
28 Sep Red Star FC A 1–1 D
24 Sep VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 4–0 W
21 Sep FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 1–1 D
12 Sep Nimes Olympique H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct ES Troyes AC A 1–5 L
04 Oct GFC Ajaccio A 1–1 D
27 Sep AC Ajaccio H 2–1 W
24 Sep Nimes Olympique H 0–1 L
21 Sep Paris FC A 0–0 D
13 Sep VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SM Caen kicks off things out of here…
  • ES Troyes AC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
2.63 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: ES Troyes AC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC68% Draw18% SM Caen14%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
87%
Draw or SM Caen
32%
ES Troyes AC or SM Caen
82%

Half-Time Result

ES Troyes AC53% Draw36% SM Caen11%

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.3%
4 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 31% 69%
-2 31% 21% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 21% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
40%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.