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ES Troyes AC vs AJ Auxerre, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Fri 23 Jan 2015 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs AJ Auxerre — Ligue 1 .

Head-to-Head

10
1
5
ES Troyes AC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals AJ Auxerre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan AJ Auxerre H 2–0 W
17 Jan SV 07 Elversberg A 2–0 W
11 Jan Amiens SC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Grenoble Foot 38 A 5–0 W
12 Dec AS Nancy-Lorraine H 3–0 W
07 Dec FK Partizani A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan ES Troyes AC A 0–2 L
17 Jan SM Caen H 2–3 L
11 Jan Red Star FC A 0–0 D
20 Dec Nimes Olympique H 0–1 L
13 Dec VfR Wormatia 08 Worms A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 1–3 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

AJ Auxerre Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.65 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 AJ Auxerre xG
I would bet for: ES Troyes AC to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC59% Draw25% AJ Auxerre16%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
84%
Draw or AJ Auxerre
41%
ES Troyes AC or AJ Auxerre
75%

Half-Time Result

ES Troyes AC39% Draw48% AJ Auxerre13%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push AJ Auxerre covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
46%
AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.