EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro
- Assistant 1 Maira Mastella Moreira (Brazil)
4 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Clube do Remo | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Mar | RB Bragantino | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fluminense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Feb | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 53 | Points | 54 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 15 / 9 / 10 |
| 50 | Scored | 51 |
| 45 | Conceded | 43 |
| +5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Bahia is hosting CA Paranaense for another epic battle.
- 3' Everaldo doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 8' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 13' With 0 assists to his name this season, Carlos Teran is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Paranaense.
- 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 23' EC Bahia are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against CA Paranaense's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 26' David Duarte picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past CA Paranaense's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 35' Against the run of play, Everaldo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' Poor challenge from Jadson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 45' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Bruno Zapelli gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Julimar and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
- 60' Caio Alexandre makes way for Erick at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cristian Olivera made 302 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Victor is hanging Jadson on the field on 66 minute.
- 68' Ademir Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Erick at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' Erick has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 78' CA Paranaense make a change. Dudu trudges off to be replaced by Bruno Ramos on 78 minutes.
- 83' Santos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 85' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everaldo exits the field as Willian Jose enters on 85.
- 90' Gaston Benavidez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- CA Paranaense will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 68'
- 22
-
27
Everaldo ↓ Willian Jose 85'
- 33
- 21
-
8
Caio Alexandre ↓ Erick 60'
- 46
- 5
-
16
Erick ↓ Ademir Santos 68'
- 99
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 68'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 85'
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 85'
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 60'
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 68'
- 44
- 3
- 31
- 89
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
16
Jadson ↓ Joao Victor 66'
- 3
- 23
- 7
-
14
Luiz Gustavo ↓ Juan Portilla 46'
-
20
Julimar ↓ Bruno Zapelli 46'
-
13
Carlos Teran ↓ Derik 46'
- 29
- 33
-
53
Dudu ↓ Bruno Ramos 78'
- 9
Bench
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 46'
- 1
- 11
-
6
Derik ↑ 46'
-
8
Joao Victor ↑ 66'
- 5
- 2
-
48
Bruno Ramos ↑ 78'
- 26
-
27
Juan Portilla ↑ 46'
- 70
- 21
Coach
Odair Hellmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Lucas Esquivel | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Jorge Rivaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
79%
Draw or CA Paranaense
45%
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

