Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
- Assistant 1 Steve Durnall (England)
- Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Blackpool FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Blackpool FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Apr | Cheltenham Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Northampton Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Lincoln City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC is underway.
- 5' Against the run of play, Max Bird has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 10' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Gibson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Korey Smith has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 41' Harrison Neal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
- 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' Luke Armstrong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 13 appearances.
- 59' James Collins adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 64' Louie Sibley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 70' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Georgie Kelly is replaced by Jordan Gibson.
- 74' Another substitution for Carlisle United FC to replace Dylan McGeouch by Jack Diamond on 74 minute.
- 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 84' Derby County FC make a change. Max Bird trudges off to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen on 84 minutes.
- 89' Scotland international Dylan McGeouch has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 90' Derby County FC ring the changes. Sonny Bradley has done his job and it is now time for Corey Blackett-Taylor to step up.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
8
Max Bird ↓ Thomas Barkhuizen 84'
- 11
- 2
- 35
- 9
- 5
- 32
- 17
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 14
- 4
-
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 90'
- 31
- 20
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 84'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 84'
Coach
Paul Warne
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 40
- 26
-
21
Dylan McGeouch ↓ Jack Diamond 74'
- 5
-
9
Georgie Kelly ↓ Jordan Gibson 70'
- 10
- 3
- 2
- 33
Bench
-
27
Jack Diamond ↑ 74'
- 32
- 16
- 13
-
7
Jordan Gibson ↑ 70'
- 37
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-04-10
Wycombe Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2024-04-02
Portsmouth FC
2–2
Derby County FC
D
2024-03-29
Derby County FC
1–0
Blackpool FC
W
Carlisle United FC Form
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-04-20
Carlisle United FC
1–3
Wycombe Wanderers FC
L
2024-04-13
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Blackpool FC
L
2024-04-09
Cheltenham Town FC
0–1
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-06
Northampton Town FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-04-01
Carlisle United FC
1–3
Lincoln City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Derby County FC to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
37%
Derby County FC or Carlisle United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

