Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Max Bird 5' 1–0
James Collins 59' 2–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Blackpool FC H 0–1 L
09 Apr Cheltenham Town FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr Northampton Town FC A 0–2 L
01 Apr Lincoln City FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC is underway.
  • 5' Against the run of play, Max Bird has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 10' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Gibson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' Korey Smith has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' Harrison Neal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
  • 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' Luke Armstrong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 13 appearances.
  • 59' James Collins adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 64' Louie Sibley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Georgie Kelly is replaced by Jordan Gibson.
  • 74' Another substitution for Carlisle United FC to replace Dylan McGeouch by Jack Diamond on 74 minute.
  • 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 84' Derby County FC make a change. Max Bird trudges off to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Scotland international Dylan McGeouch has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' Derby County FC ring the changes. Sonny Bradley has done his job and it is now time for Corey Blackett-Taylor to step up.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Derby County FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC63% Draw25% Carlisle United FC12%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
37%
Derby County FC or Carlisle United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC41% Draw49% Carlisle United FC10%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 27% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.