Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 16 Jan 2021 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45+6' · FT 45+7'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
3
AFC Bournemouth 6 games · Avg 3.2 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Jan Millwall FC H 1–1 D
09 Jan Oldham Athletic AFC H 4–1 W
02 Jan Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Brentford FC A 1–2 L
19 Dec Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 1–0 W
12 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–2 L
09 Jan Reading FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Bristol City FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Reading FC A 1–2 L
19 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth are looking to make home advantage count against Luton Town FC.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kal Naismith made 380 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' AFC Bournemouth are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's shape.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jaidon Anthony, as he is very good at scoring at Vitality Stadium with 8 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 25' Joshua King has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 26' The referee has no hesitation. Jefferson Lerma is booked for AFC Bournemouth — Red card on 26.
  • 31' The 29-year-old David Brooks has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Tom Lockyer has done his job and it is now time for Kal Naismith to step up.
  • 39' Luton Town FC have won 465 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 54' Asmir Begovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 335 appearances.
  • 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Bournemouth side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Harry Cornick has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' Kiernan Dewsbury Hall doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 70' Another change for AFC Bournemouth made on 70 minute. Diego Rico leaves to be changed by Philip Billing.
  • 71' Fresh legs for AFC Bournemouth! Lloyd Kelly comes on to replace Jack Stacey.
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 77' Jordan Clark is replacing Harry Cornick for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 82' AFC Bournemouth make a change. Adam Smith trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo Riquelme on 82 minutes.
  • 87' The crowd applauds James Collins as he leaves the pitch. Danny Hylton steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 90' Matthew Pearson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + AFC Bournemouth or Draw 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth35% Draw33% Luton Town FC32%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
68%
Draw or Luton Town FC
65%
AFC Bournemouth or Luton Town FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth23% Draw56% Luton Town FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.2%
3 – 0
2.2%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 21% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 20% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
39%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.