Sunday , 16 August 2026

Chorley FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2020-21
Chorley FC
2 – 0
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 9 Jan 2021 · 12:15 UTC The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Chorley FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Atkin
  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Referee Kevin Friend
  • Referee Rob Merchant

Head-to-Head

1
Chorley FC 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2021-01-09 Chorley FC 2–0 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Chorley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Derby County FC H 2–0 W
28 Nov Peterborough United FC A 2–1 W
08 Nov Wigan Athletic FC A 3–2 W
13 Oct York City FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Gateshead FC H 2–1 W
19 Oct Spennymoor Town FC H 2–0 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Chorley FC A 0–2 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Birmingham City FC A 4–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
12 Dec Stoke City FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Chorley FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The England Connor Hall breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 1-0!
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Chorley FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andy Halls made 11 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Wayne Rooney will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Matthew Urwin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jamie Vermiglio might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. Chorley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Chorley FC! Adam Henley comes on to replace Andy Halls.
  • 76' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Willem Tomlinson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Oliver Shenton as he leaves the pitch. Harvey Smith steps in for Chorley FC.
  • 80' Chorley FC make a change. Connor Hall trudges off to be replaced by Lewis Reilly on 80 minutes.
  • 84' Magnificent from Mike Calveley! That is 3 goals in 153 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Chorley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chorley FC56% Draw26% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Chorley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Chorley FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Chorley FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chorley FC36% Draw50% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Chorley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Chorley FC

Handicap Chorley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Chorley FC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.