Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Cuiaba EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 0
Full Time
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 22:00 UTC Pantanal 11,883 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruno Alves 4' 1–0
Clayson 42' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Cuiaba EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Pantanal.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
29 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
22 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 0–0 D
16 Sep SC Internacional A 0–3 L
05 Sep EC Juventude H 0–0 D
31 Aug Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Cuiaba EC A 0–2 L
29 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 3–1 W
26 Sep Botafogo FR H 5–6 L
22 Sep SC Internacional H 1–3 L
19 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Cuiaba EC welcome Sao Paulo FC for this crunch clash at Pantanal.
  • 4' Assisted by Isidro Pitta with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bruno Alves makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 9' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 19' It’s a booking for Cuiaba EC player. Lucas Fernandes gets a card.
  • 21' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 21.
  • 26' It looks surprising Cuiaba EC does not make any changes. Jamal Lewis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' Alan Empereur has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cuiaba EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Robert Arboleda is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 38.
  • 42' Against the run of play, Clayson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 47' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 52' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 57' Fernando Sobral is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
  • 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' Jamal Lewis makes way for Liziero at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 64' Cuiaba EC make a change. Gustavo Sauerbeck trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Cafu on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Cuiaba EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' A change in the Cuiaba EC ranks — Clayson exits the field as Andre Luis enters on 73.
  • 78' The referee shows Cuiaba EC player a card on 78.
  • 83' Rodrigo Nestor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liziero suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Cuiaba EC. Isidro Pitta is replaced by Lucas Mineiro.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cuiaba EC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Cuiaba EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cuiaba EC51% Draw30% Sao Paulo FC19%
Actual: Cuiaba EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Cuiaba EC or Draw
81%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
49%
Cuiaba EC or Sao Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cuiaba EC31% Draw55% Sao Paulo FC14%
Actual: Cuiaba EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Cuiaba EC

Handicap Cuiaba EC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Cuiaba EC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.