Croatia vs Spain, European Championship 2021 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
Croatia vs Spain — European Championship at Parken.
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Andreas Ekberg
- Referee Bahattin Duran
- Referee Tarik Ongun
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Cuneyt Cakir
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Croatia
| Andrej Kramaric | 1 G |
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Croatia host Spain — let the battle begin!
- 5' Azpilicueta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Jordi Alba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Against the run of play, Unai Simon has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateo Kovacic made 409 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Spain is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' Magnificent from Pablo Sarabia! That is 72 goals in 418 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 43' The travelling Spain supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' Fresh legs for Croatia! Andrej Kramaric comes on to replace Bruno Petkovic.
- 51' Spain has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Enrique will be considering his options from the bench.
- 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Azpilicueta makes it 1-2.
- 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Croatia and Spain are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 67' The Croatia bench stirs into life. Ante Rebic is withdrawn and Mislav Orsic gets his opportunity.
- 71' It is a substitution in Spain team. Pablo Sarabia is replaced by Dani Olmo on 71 minute.
- 72' Another change for Spain made on 72 minute. Eric Garcia leaves to be changed by Pau Torres.
- 73' It is a substitution in Croatia team. Josip Juranovic is replaced by Josip Brekalo on 73 minute.
- 73' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Marcelo Brozovic on 73 minutes.
- 74' Croatia make a change. Josip Juranovic trudges off to be replaced by Josip Brekalo on 74 minutes.
- 77' Ferran Torres makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Spain are in front.
- 77' The Spain manager makes a substitution. Gaya departs to be replaced by Jordi Alba.
- 78' Jordi Alba gets the nod from Spain. He replaces Gaya and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' The crowd applauds Mateo Kovacic as he leaves the pitch. Ante Budimir steps in for Croatia.
- 84' A moment of madness from Duje Caleta-Car on 84 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Croatia will be frustrated.
- 85' GOAL! Mislav Orsic fires home to make it 2-3!
- 88' The Spain bench stirs into life. Ferran Torres is withdrawn and Mikel Oiarzabal gets his opportunity.
- Spain celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Ante Budimir 79'
- 5
-
17
Ante Rebic ↓ Mislav Orsic 67'
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Luka Ivanusec 114'
- 11
- 21
- 20
- 1
-
13
Nikola Vlasic ↓ Mario Pasalic 79'
-
22
Josip Juranovic ↓ Josip Brekalo 73'
- 25
Bench
-
7
Josip Brekalo ↑ 73'
-
9
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 46'
-
15
Mario Pasalic ↑ 79'
-
14
Ante Budimir ↑ 79'
- 2
- 19
-
18
Mislav Orsic ↑ 67'
- 12
- 23
- 16
- 24
-
26
Luka Ivanusec ↑ 114'
Coach
Zlatko Dalić
Spain Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 7
- 24
-
14
Gaya ↓ Jordi Alba 77'
-
11
Ferran Torres ↓ Mikel Oiarzabal 88'
-
8
Koke ↓ Fabian Ruiz 77'
-
22
Pablo Sarabia ↓ Dani Olmo 71'
- 23
- 5
-
12
Eric Garcia ↓ Pau Torres 71'
- 26
Bench
- 1
- 10
- 3
-
21
Mikel Oiarzabal ↑ 88'
-
16
Rodri ↑ 101'
-
18
Jordi Alba ↑ 77'
- 6
- 9
-
4
Pau Torres ↑ 71'
-
17
Fabian Ruiz ↑ 77'
-
19
Dani Olmo ↑ 71'
- 13
Coach
Luis Enrique
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | 3 |
| Pablo Sarabia | 1 |
| Nikola Kalinic | 1 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Unai Simon | 1 |
Head to Head
Croatia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
54%
Draw or Spain
70%
Croatia or Spain
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–5 not predicted3 – 5Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 19% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.