Saturday , 14 November 2026

Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2018-19
Sat 5 Jan 2019 · 15:00 UTC Stamford Bridge HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — FA Cup at Stamford Bridge.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Drysdale
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee Daniel Leach
  • Referee Tim Wood
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

4
3
2
Chelsea FC 9 games · Avg 2.7 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 2–0 W
02 Jan Southampton FC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Watford FC A 2–1 W
22 Dec Leicester City FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
01 Jan Leeds United FC H 4–2 W
29 Dec Millwall FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Norwich City FC A 3–3 D
22 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L
17 Dec Derby County FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Nottingham Forest FC gets underway.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Ross Barkley has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Alvaro Morata is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Chelsea FC so far.
  • 25' Luke Steele is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' The 31-year-old Saidy Janko has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Chelsea FC that had 419 games and scored 675 goals.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ross Barkley.
  • 42' The supporters are chanting for Eden Hazard. He replaces Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 42 minute.
  • 47' It is a cagey affair so far. Chelsea FC in their trying to find a way past Nottingham Forest FC's compact .
  • 49' What a strike from Alvaro Morata! The score is 1-0.
  • 54' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Matty Cash as he leaves the pitch. Joe Lolley steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 59' A stunning finish from Alvaro Morata — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Jack Colback. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Azpilicueta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Alvaro Morata as he leaves the pitch. Azpilicueta steps in for Chelsea FC.
  • 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 85' Chelsea FC make a change. Fabregas trudges off to be replaced by N'Golo Kante on 85 minutes.
  • 90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Karanka might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC56% Draw27% Nottingham Forest FC17%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
44%
Chelsea FC or Nottingham Forest FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC36% Draw52% Nottingham Forest FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.4%
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 26% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.