Thursday , 2 July 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC, 2017

Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017
Mon 10 Apr 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

V-Varen Nagasaki 1.95
Draw 3.10
Cerezo Osaka FC 4.33

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
V-Varen Nagasaki 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Jubilo Iwata A 3–3 D
19 Mar PFK Levski Sofia H 3–1 W
12 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–3 L
05 Mar FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 1–2 L
31 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
19 Mar Kingstonian FC A 2–3 L
11 Mar Jubilo Iwata H 0–0 D
05 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
24 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.57 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki53% Draw26% Cerezo Osaka FC21%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
79%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
47%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki35% Draw48% Cerezo Osaka FC17%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
39%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.