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Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 2017

Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 26 Nov 2016 · 11:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Cerezo Osaka FC 2.25
Draw 3.00
V-Varen Nagasaki 3.50

Head-to-Head

5
1
2
Cerezo Osaka FC 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals V-Varen Nagasaki

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov V-Varen Nagasaki H 0–0 D
05 Nov Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
31 Oct Kingstonian FC H 1–1 D
24 Oct Jubilo Iwata A 0–1 L
01 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
24 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Jubilo Iwata H 1–0 W
30 Oct PFK Levski Sofia A 0–1 L
21 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
02 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–0 W
25 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.84 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC36% Draw36% V-Varen Nagasaki28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
72%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
64%
Cerezo Osaka FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC21% Draw62% V-Varen Nagasaki17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
16.5%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
2%
3 – 0
1.9%
3 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 22% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 18% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
50%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.