Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ceará SC vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
0 – 2
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Wed 23 Jul 2025 · 22:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 18' Gabriel
Bruno 27' Y
Aylon 83' Y
Y 89' Danielzinho
Y 89' Roni

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 23 34
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 22 11

Head-to-Head

2
Ceará SC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-23 Ceará SC 0–2 Mirassol FC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Mirassol FC H 0–2 L
20 Jul SC Internacional A 0–1 L
16 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
13 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
04 Jun Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
01 Jun CA Mineiro H 0–1 L
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Ceará SC A 2–0 W
19 Jul Santos FC H 3–0 W
16 Jul SE Palmeiras A 1–1 D
01 Jun SC Recife H 1–0 W
24 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–0 W
18 May SC Internacional A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Ceara SC have kicked off against Mirassol FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Roni made 370 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 16' A stunning finish from Chico — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 18' The referee shows Mirassol FC player a card on 18.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Negueba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' Bruno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 27.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' Ceara SC have won 233 goals from 238 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Lourenco gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Fernando Sobral and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Willian Machado is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ceara SC tonight.
  • 57' Chico has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel on 57 minute.
  • 58' The crowd applauds Chico as he leaves the pitch. Cristian Renato steps in for Mirassol FC.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Mirassol FC! Edson Carioca comes on to replace Alesson.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Rafael Ramos is replaced by Bruno Tubarao on 66 minute.
  • 71' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' Fernandinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonio Galeano on 76 minute.
  • 78' Roni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Neto Moura on 78 minute.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Matheus Bianqui on, Negueba off on 79 minutes.
  • 83' It’s a booking for Ceara SC player. Aylon gets a card.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Matheus Araujo comes on to replace Dieguinho.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Danielzinho.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Ceara SC 0-2 Mirassol FC.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC21% Draw29% Mirassol FC50%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
50%
Draw or Mirassol FC
79%
Ceará SC or Mirassol FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC13% Draw52% Mirassol FC35%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.7%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.1%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 26% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.