Saturday , 14 November 2026

Ceará SC vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
0 – 2
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Wed 23 Jul 2025 · 22:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 18' Gabriel
Bruno 27' Y
Aylon 83' Y
Y 89' Danielzinho
Y 89' Roni

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

2
Ceará SC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-23 Ceará SC 0–2 Mirassol FC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Mirassol FC H 0–2 L
20 Jul SC Internacional A 0–1 L
16 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
13 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
04 Jun Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
01 Jun CA Mineiro H 0–1 L
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Ceará SC A 2–0 W
19 Jul Santos FC H 3–0 W
16 Jul SE Palmeiras A 1–1 D
01 Jun SC Recife H 1–0 W
24 May São Paulo FC A 2–0 W
18 May SC Internacional A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Mirassol FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Negueba has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 185 appearances.
  • 15' Jemmes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 37 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Chico has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 18' That looks like a foul for a card for Gabriel.
  • 22' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Negueba makes it 0-2.
  • 27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bruno.
  • 32' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 37' Roni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alesson, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Lourenco comes on to replace Fernando Sobral.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Mirassol FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Ceará SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 57' Fresh legs for Mirassol FC! Chico comes on to replace Gabriel.
  • 58' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 58 minute. Chico leaves to be changed by Cristian Renato.
  • 63' The whistle greets Alesson as he departs to be replaced by Edson Carioca.
  • 66' Bruno Tubarao is replacing Rafael Ramos for the Ceara SC side.
  • 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ceará SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 76' Ceara SC make a change. Antonio Galeano trudges off to be replaced by Fernandinho on 76 minutes.
  • 78' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 78 minute. Neto Moura leaves to be changed by Roni.
  • 79' Mirassol FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Bianqui is hanging Negueba on the field on 79 minute.
  • 83' That is a card for Ceara SC. Aylon will be fuming at that decision.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Dieguinho is replaced by Matheus Araujo.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Danielzinho on 89 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Ceará SC 0-2 Mirassol FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC21% Draw29% Mirassol FC50%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
50%
Draw or Mirassol FC
79%
Ceará SC or Mirassol FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC13% Draw52% Mirassol FC35%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.7%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.1%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 26% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.