Sunday , 16 August 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Mon 1 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,758 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 49' Ben Garrity
Jordan Gibson pen 80' 1–1
Jon Mellish 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Port Vale FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D
09 Dec Blackpool FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Carlisle United FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Barnsley FC H 2–3 L
23 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
16 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 3–2 W
12 Dec Stevenage FC H 3–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Brunton Park!
  • 5' The 38-year-old Joe Garner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Carlisle United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' It’s high time Andy Crosby made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 23' The referee shows Carlisle United FC player a card on 23.
  • 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' The Port Vale FC bench stirs into life. Jesse Debrah is withdrawn and Alex Iacovitti gets his opportunity.
  • 33' Port Vale FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 38' Jason Lowe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Carlisle United FC and Port Vale FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jon Mellish on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Port Vale FC. Ben Lomax is replaced by Conor Grant.
  • 49' What a moment for Ben Garrity! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 51' Owen Moxon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
  • 56' Nathan Smith, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' Port Vale FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 64' That is a card for Port Vale FC. James Wilson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 65' Port Vale FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Baylee Dipepa is hanging James Wilson on the field on 65 minute.
  • 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' Alfie McCalmont is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taylor Charters at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' Magnificent from Jordan Gibson! That is 7 goals in 57 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 81' Port Vale FC make a change. Ben Garrity trudges off to be replaced by Kofi Balmer on 81 minutes.
  • 86' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 2-1 the final result. Port Vale FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Carlisle United FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC44% Draw28% Port Vale FC28%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Port Vale FC
56%
Carlisle United FC or Port Vale FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC29% Draw50% Port Vale FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.