Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Castellon vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Estadio Municipal Castalia 12,653 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Camara 9' 1–0
1–1 21' Curro Sanchez pen
Alex Calatrava 79' 2–1
Awer Mabil 81' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

CD Castellon vs Burgos CFSegunda Division at Estadio Municipal Castalia.

Match Details

  • Referee Manuel Perez Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Gonzalo Lopez de la Llave (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Sergio Rebollo Merino (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Burgos CF H 3–1 W
12 Apr CD Mirandes A 2–2 D
06 Apr Granada CF H 3–2 W
02 Apr UD Almeria H 2–0 W
28 Mar Albacete Balompie A 1–1 D
23 Mar Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr CD Castellon A 1–3 L
11 Apr Real Sporting de Gijon H 1–0 W
04 Apr Albacete Balompie A 3–2 W
01 Apr AD Ceuta FC H 1–1 D
28 Mar Real Valladolid CF A 1–0 W
22 Mar Cordoba CF H 4–0 W

Season Stats

CD Castellon Burgos CF
#6 Position #7
72 Points 72
42 Played 42
20 / 12 / 10 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 10
70 Scored 48
51 Conceded 33
+19 GD +15
1.71 PPG 1.71
48% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

CD Castellon are 6th (72 pts). Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 CD Castellon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Burgos CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Castellon52% Draw26% Burgos CF22%
Actual: CD Castellon win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

CD Castellon or Draw
78%
Draw or Burgos CF
48%
CD Castellon or Burgos CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Castellon35% Draw46% Burgos CF19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — CD Castellon

Handicap CD Castellon covers Push Burgos CF covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

CD Castellon keeps clean sheet
36%
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.