CA Paranaense vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jul | Cuiabá EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Cuiabá EC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Aug | São Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 54 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 51 | Scored | 62 |
| 43 | Conceded | 23 |
| +8 | GD | +39 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 44% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Arena da Baixada. Ninety minutes of football awaits between CA Paranaense and SE Palmeiras.
- 5' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 8' Mauricio adds to his 10 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 13' CA Paranaense currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 23' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 31' Christian is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Esquivel made 195 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' The referee shows CA Paranaense player a card on 45.
- 46' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Leonardo Godoy is hanging Gonzalo Mastriani on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' Poor challenge from Marcos Rocha. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 53' Jose Manuel Lopez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Estevao makes it 0-2.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Julimar. He replaces Tomas Cuello on 60 minute.
- 65' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Caio Paulista is replaced by Vanderlan.
- 66' Rony is replacing Jose Manuel Lopez for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 69' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Joao Victor comes on to replace Bruno Zapelli.
- 71' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Richard Rios by Fabinho on 71 minute.
- 76' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Christian has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 78' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Mauricio has done his job and it is now time for Raphael Veiga to step up.
- 79' Christian makes way for Nikao at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Paranaense.
- 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Paranaense and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 402 games and scored 605 goals.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from SE Palmeiras to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Julimar 60'
- 4
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Joao Victor 69'
- 88
- 9
- 37
- 14
- 41
- 15
Bench
- 22
-
11
Nikao ↑ 79'
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↑ 46'
-
20
Julimar ↑ 60'
- 8
- 45
- 53
-
57
Joao Victor ↑ 69'
- 42
- 23
- 7
- 30
Coach
Martin Varini
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 21
- 2
- 15
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Vanderlan 65'
- 9
- 5
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Raphael Veiga 78'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Rony 66'
- 26
-
27
Richard Rios ↓ Fabinho 71'
-
41
Estevao ↓ Agustin Giay 78'
Bench
- 8
-
10
Rony ↑ 66'
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 78'
- 7
- 17
- 1
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 65'
- 34
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 71'
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 78'
- 57
- 20
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Endrick | 4 |
| Felipe Matheus | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Mauricio | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Gabriel Menino | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.81
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
47%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
79%
CA Paranaense or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.9%
1 – 1
12%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
10%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
6.4%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 4
2.7%
2 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 18% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

