CA Paranaense vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Cuiaba EC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 41 | Points | 48 |
| 23 | Played | 23 |
| 12 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 14 / 6 / 3 |
| 31 | Scored | 40 |
| 20 | Conceded | 19 |
| +11 | GD | +21 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 2.09 |
| 52% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 14 G | 2 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Arena da Baixada that hosts another battle between CA Paranaense and SE Palmeiras.
- 5' The 25-year-old Mateo Gamarra has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 8' SE Palmeiras is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mauricio on 8.
- 13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christian on 31 minutes.
- 36' Gustavo Gomez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 389 appearances.
- 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Agustin Canobbio. He receives a card.
- 46' The crowd applauds Gonzalo Mastriani as he leaves the pitch. Leonardo Godoy steps in for CA Paranaense.
- 48' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Marcos Rocha will be fuming at that decision.
- 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 58' Estevao does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
- 60' The crowd applauds Tomas Cuello as he leaves the pitch. Julimar steps in for CA Paranaense.
- 65' Caio Paulista makes way for Vanderlan at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Rony. He replaces Jose Manuel Lopez on 66 minute.
- 69' Joao Victor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Zapelli on 69 minute.
- 71' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Richard Rios departs to be replaced by Fabinho.
- 76' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 78' Mauricio makes way for Raphael Veiga at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 79' The CA Paranaense manager makes a substitution. Christian departs to be replaced by Nikao.
- 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 389 games and scored 583 goals.
- 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Agustin Canobbio, as he is very good at scoring at Arena da Baixada with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Julimar 60'
- 4
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Joao Victor 69'
- 88
- 9
- 37
- 14
- 41
- 15
Bench
- 22
-
11
Nikao ↑ 79'
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↑ 46'
-
20
Julimar ↑ 60'
- 8
- 45
- 53
-
57
Joao Victor ↑ 69'
- 42
- 23
- 7
- 30
Coach
Martin Varini
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 21
- 2
- 15
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Vanderlan 65'
- 9
- 5
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Raphael Veiga 78'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Rony 66'
- 26
-
27
Richard Rios ↓ Fabinho 71'
-
41
Estevao ↓ Agustin Giay 78'
Bench
- 8
-
10
Rony ↑ 66'
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 78'
- 7
- 17
- 1
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 65'
- 34
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 71'
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 78'
- 57
- 20
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Endrick | 4 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Gabriel Menino | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Vitor Bueno | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Raphael Veiga | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
76%
CA Paranaense or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

