CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 34 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jul | Cuiabá EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Jul | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #18 |
| 54 | Points | 37 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 |
| 51 | Scored | 38 |
| 43 | Conceded | 47 |
| +8 | GD | -9 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.09 |
| 44% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
35%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Arena da Baixada as CA Paranaense face off against Grêmio FBPA in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Alexander Aravena has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Grêmio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' CA Paranaense is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 16' The referee calls foul for Mateo Gamarra. He receives a card.
- 18' A goal from the Brazil international Gustavo Martins! He fires home on 18 to make it 0-1!
- 21' What a strike from Miguel Monsalve! The score is 0-2.
- 26' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bruno Zapelli is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Paranaense.
- 31' It’s high time Martin Varini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 41' Grêmio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Marlon scoring 1 goals.
- 46' CA Paranaense make a change. Bruno Zapelli trudges off to be replaced by Pablo Felipe on 46 minutes.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 59' Fernandinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nikao on 59 minute.
- 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 65' Gremio FBPA make a change. Miguel Monsalve trudges off to be replaced by Alexander Aravena on 65 minutes.
- 70' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 72' The crowd applauds Christian as he leaves the pitch. Agustin Canobbio steps in for CA Paranaense.
- 75' The whistle greets Joao Pedro Pepe as he departs to be replaced by Ronald.
- 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 81' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Mayk by Reinaldo on 81 minute.
- 82' It’s gonna be a card for Tomas Cuello.
- 87' The 25-year-old Christian has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 6 assists is a remarkable return.
- Grêmio FBPA celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-3-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
11
Nikao ↓ Fernandinho 59'
-
4
Kaique Rocha ↓ Madson 46'
-
26
Erick ↓ Tomas Cuello 46'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Pablo Felipe 46'
-
88
Christian ↓ Agustin Canobbio 72'
- 20
- 37
- 24
- 15
- 7
Bench
-
22
Madson ↑ 46'
- 44
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 46'
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 59'
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 46'
- 9
- 45
-
14
Agustin Canobbio ↑ 72'
- 41
- 6
- 57
- 30
Coach
Martin Varini
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
14
Nathan ↓ Du Queiroz 75'
- 17
- 2
- 15
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↓ Ronald 75'
- 26
- 53
- 36
- 33
- 11
- 39
Bench
- 3
- 4
- 97
-
6
Reinaldo ↑ 81'
- 18
- 10
- 9
-
37
Du Queiroz ↑ 75'
- 45
-
35
Ronald ↑ 75'
- 32
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 65'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pedro Rocha | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Cuiabano | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Matheus | 2 |
| Thiago Santos | 2 |
| Gustavo Martins | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.4
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Grêmio FBPA 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Grêmio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
62%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
66%
CA Paranaense or Grêmio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

