CA Paranaense vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024

CA Paranaense

1 – 0

Full Time

CR Vasco da Gama

Sun 5 May 2024 · 19:00 UTC Arena da Baixada 31,192 HT 45' · FT 45'

Erick 26' 1–0

R 15' Hugo Moura

Fernandinho 58' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.

CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
CR Vasco da Gama 21 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

CA Paranaense 13 games · Avg 1.9 goals CR Vasco da Gama

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-05 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Vasco da Gama 2023-11-25 CA Paranaense 0–0 CR Vasco da Gama 2023-07-23 CR Vasco da Gama 0–2 CA Paranaense 2020-12-27 CA Paranaense 3–0 CR Vasco da Gama 2020-09-06 CR Vasco da Gama 1–0 CA Paranaense

Recent Form

CA Paranaense

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	CR Vasco da Gama	H	1–0	W
28 Apr	EC Juventude	A	1–1	D
21 Apr	SC Internacional	H	1–0	W
17 Apr	Gremio FBPA	A	0–2	L
14 Apr	Cuiaba EC	H	4–0	W
07 Dec	Cuiaba EC	A	0–3	L

CR Vasco da Gama

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	CA Paranaense	A	0–1	L
27 Apr	Criciúma EC	H	0–4	L
20 Apr	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
17 Apr	RB Bragantino	A	1–2	L
14 Apr	Gremio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	RB Bragantino	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense		CR Vasco da Gama
#3	Position	#18
41	Points	22
23	Played	21
12 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	5 / 7 / 9
31	Scored	23
20	Conceded	31
+11	GD	-8
1.78	PPG	1.05
52%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 18th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

1/1

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CR Vasco da Gama

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

2/4

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense

Kevin Viveros	14 G	2 A
Stiven Mendoza	5 G
Julimar	3 G	1 A

CR Vasco da Gama

Carlos Gomez	4 G	2 A
Thiago Mendes	3 G	1 A
Cauan Lucas	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Arena da Baixada will turn into a battlefield for CA Paranaense and CR Vasco da Gama.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leonardo Godoy, as he is very good at scoring at Arena da Baixada with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
10' CR Vasco da Gama looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
11' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 11 minute. Agustin Canobbio leaves to be changed by Julimar.
15' Poor challenge from Hugo Moura. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
20' Erick needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
23' It is a substitution in CR Vasco da Gama team. Rossi is replaced by Joao Victor on 23 minute.
26' Erick makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and CA Paranaense are in front.
31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
36' Lucas Piton is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Vasco da Gama tonight.
41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
46' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
51' CR Vasco da Gama has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
56' The travelling CR Vasco da Gama supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
58' A moment of madness from Fernandinho on 58 minutes earns him a card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
59' The CA Paranaense manager makes a substitution. Tomas Cuello departs to be replaced by Nikao.
64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
69' Alex Santana is replacing Bruno Zapelli for the CA Paranaense side.
74' Erick Marcus has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pablo Vegetti on 74 minute.
79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CR Vasco da Gama that had 289 games and scored 288 goals.
84' Bento has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
87' CR Vasco da Gama make a change. David trudges off to be replaced by Adson on 87 minutes.
CA Paranaense celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

CA Paranaense Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Madson ↑ 59'
–
Gabriel
–
Nikao ↑ 59'
80
Alex Santana ↑ 69'
88
Christian
20
Julimar ↑ 11'
9
Gonzalo Mastriani ↑ 69'
24
Leo Linck
6
Fernando
46
Marcos Andre
23
Filipinho
–
Ze Vitor

Coach Cuca

CR Vasco da Gama Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

–
David ↓ Adson 87'
–
Leo
–
Maicon
–
Rossi ↓ Joao Victor 23'
–
Pablo Galdames
–
Hugo Moura
–
Lucas Piton
–
Pablo Vegetti ↓ Erick Marcus 74'
–
Paulo Henrique ↓ Clayton 87'
–
Leo Jardim
–
Tucurui ↓ Juan Sforza 74'

Bench

–
Victor Luis
–
Gary Medel
–
Robert Rojas
–
Joao Victor ↑ 23'
–
Ze Gabriel
–
Bruno Praxedes
–
Juan Sforza ↑ 74'
–
Clayton ↑ 87'
–
Adson ↑ 87'
–
Erick Marcus ↑ 74'
–
Rayan
–
Pablo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
German Cano	2
Carlos Eduardo	2
Nikao	2
Gabriel	1
Danilo Barcelos	1
Madson	1
Raphael Veiga	1
Ribamar	1

Head to Head

CA Paranaense Form

2024-05-05 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2024-04-28 EC Juventude 1–1 CA Paranaense D 2024-04-21 CA Paranaense 1–0 SC Internacional W 2024-04-17 Gremio FBPA 2–0 CA Paranaense L 2024-04-14 CA Paranaense 4–0 Cuiaba EC W 2023-12-07 Cuiaba EC 3–0 CA Paranaense L

CR Vasco da Gama Form

2024-05-05 CA Paranaense 1–0 CR Vasco da Gama L 2024-04-27 CR Vasco da Gama 0–4 Criciúma EC L 2024-04-20 Fluminense FC 2–1 CR Vasco da Gama L 2024-04-17 RB Bragantino 2–1 CR Vasco da Gama L 2024-04-14 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2023-12-07 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.66 CA Paranaense xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.49 CR Vasco da Gama xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Paranaense64% Draw24% CR Vasco da Gama12%

Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes32% 0% No68%

Avg goals/match: 2.15

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw

88%

Draw or CR Vasco da Gama

36%

CA Paranaense or CR Vasco da Gama

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CA Paranaense43% Draw49% CR Vasco da Gama8%

Actual: CA Paranaense win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

15.5%

0 – 0

13.8%

1 – 1

10%

3 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

7.7%

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 1

4.4%

4 – 0

3.5%

1 – 2

2.2%

2 – 2

1.9%

4 – 1

1.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap	CA Paranaense covers	Push	CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	21%	63%
-1.5	37%	—	63%
-1	37%	28%	35%
-0.5	65%	—	35%
+0.5	91%	—	9%
+1	91%	7%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet

62% ✓

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.