Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Northampton Town FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 12:30 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,837 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 86' Sam Hoskins

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Northampton Town FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Guest (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Northampton Town FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–2 D
29 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
21 Dec Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
14 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Stevenage FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Reading FC A 1–4 L
21 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 0–5 L
14 Dec Rotherham United FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC Northampton Town FC
#17 Position #24
54 Points 35
46 Played 46
13 / 15 / 18 W / D / L 9 / 8 / 29
50 Scored 39
60 Conceded 74
-10 GD -35
1.17 PPG 0.76
28% Win % 20%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Northampton Town FC are 24th (35 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Northampton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC39% Draw31% Northampton Town FC30%
Actual: Northampton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Northampton Town FC
61%
Burton Albion FC or Northampton Town FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC28% Draw51% Northampton Town FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Northampton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.