Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–0 D
03 Mar Everton FC A 0–2 L
28 Feb Brentford FC H 3–4 L
21 Feb Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Mansfield Town FC H 1–2 L
11 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Burnley FC A 0–0 D
03 Mar Brentford FC H 0–0 D
28 Feb Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
21 Feb West Ham United FC A 0–0 D
10 Feb Everton FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC AFC Bournemouth
#2 Position #13
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). AFC Bournemouth are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.47 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC26% Draw42% AFC Bournemouth32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 32%
68%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
68%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
74%
Burnley FC or AFC Bournemouth
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC12% Draw70% AFC Bournemouth18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
19.3%
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
1.3%
2 – 2
1%
1 – 3
0.8%
3 – 0
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 16% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 23% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
53%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
62%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.