Burgos CF vs UD Almeria, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burgos CF vs UD Almeria — Segunda Division at Estadio El Plantio.
- Burgos CF 42 games · 72 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almeria 42 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Miguel Gonzalez Diaz (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Daniel Novoa Hernandez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Ricardo Landrove Lago (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almeria | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar | UD Almeria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | FC Cartagena | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Albacete Balompie | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Racing Club de Ferrol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | CD Castellon | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Real Oviedo | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Burgos CF | UD Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #3 |
| 72 | Points | 74 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 20 / 12 / 10 | W / D / L | 22 / 8 / 12 |
| 48 | Scored | 81 |
| 33 | Conceded | 63 |
| +15 | GD | +18 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.76 |
| 48% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts). UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burgos CF and UD Almeria get this one started.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 9' Marcelo Exposito has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
- 14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 16' It’s gonna be a card for Kaiky.
- 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 26' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Assisted by Lucas Robertone with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gonzalo Melero makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 32' Lucas Robertone is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
- 37' Burgos CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Kaiky is replaced by Silvi.
- 51' It looks surprising Burgos CF does not make any changes. Lazaro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' UD Almeria player sees a card in front of him.
- 60' Marcelo Exposito is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
- 65' UD Almeria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 66' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Lucas Robertone is replaced by Alejandro Pozo on 66 minute.
- 67' Magnificent from Fer Nino! That is 19 goals in 126 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 69' Inigo Cordoba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Ojeda on 69 minute.
- 70' That is a card for Burgos CF. Curro Sanchez will be fuming at that decision.
- 75' UD Almeria make a change. Marc Pubill trudges off to be replaced by Lazaro on 75 minutes.
- 76' Another change for UD Almeria made on 76 minute. Gonzalo Melero leaves to be changed by Sergio Arribas.
- 81' It is a substitution in Burgos CF team. Curro Sanchez is replaced by David Gonzalez on 81 minute.
- 84' GOAL! Inigo Cordoba fires home to make it 3-1!
- 86' It is a substitution in Burgos CF team. Marcelo Exposito is replaced by Ivan Morante on 86 minute.
- 90' Anderson Arroyo was booked on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burgos CF players.
Lineups
Burgos CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
7
Daniel Ojeda ↓ Inigo Cordoba 69'
- 8
- 13
- 4
- 5
-
16
Curro Sanchez ↓ David Gonzalez 81'
- 9
- 18
- 11
-
33
Marcelo Exposito ↓ Ivan Morante 86'
Bench
- 2
-
21
Inigo Cordoba ↑ 69'
- 1
- 20
- 15
-
23
Ivan Morante ↑ 86'
- 6
-
14
David Gonzalez ↑ 81'
-
28
Mario Cantero ↑ 86'
- 37
- 17
- 24
Coach
Luis Miguel Ramis
UD Almeria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 20
- 1
- 9
- 5
- 2
- 4
-
8
Gonzalo Melero ↓ Sergio Arribas 76'
-
18
Marc Pubill ↓ Lazaro 75'
- 10
Bench
-
17
Alejandro Pozo ↑ 66'
- 13
-
7
Lazaro ↑ 75'
-
11
Sergio Arribas ↑ 76'
-
27
Guilherme Guedes ↑ 66'
- 19
-
23
Silvi ↑ 46'
- 38
- 37
Coach
Rubí
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Inigo Cordoba | 1 |
| Fer Nino | 1 |
| Marcelo Exposito | 1 |
| Alejandro Pozo | 1 |
| Luis Suarez | 1 |
| Gonzalo Melero | 1 |
Burgos CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65
Burgos CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
UD Almeria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burgos CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Burgos CF or Draw
77%
Draw or UD Almeria
49%
Burgos CF or UD Almeria
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Burgos CF
| Handicap | Burgos CF covers | Push | UD Almeria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

