Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burgos CF vs UD Almeria, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
3 1
Full Time
Fri 21 Mar 2025 · 19:30 UTC Estadio El Plantio 9,560 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marcelo Exposito 9' 1–0
1–1 30' Gonzalo Melero
Fer Nino 67' 2–1
Inigo Cordoba 84' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Burgos CF vs UD AlmeriaSegunda Division at Estadio El Plantio.

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Gonzalez Diaz (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Novoa Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ricardo Landrove Lago (Spain)

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Burgos CF 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals UD Almeria

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar UD Almeria H 3–1 W
15 Mar FC Cartagena A 1–0 W
10 Mar Albacete Balompie H 1–0 W
05 Mar Racing Club de Ferrol A 1–0 W
01 Mar CD Castellon A 1–2 L
22 Feb Real Oviedo H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Burgos CF A 1–3 L
15 Mar Real Zaragoza H 4–1 W
07 Mar SD Eibar A 0–1 L
01 Mar Malaga CF H 2–2 D
22 Feb Real Sporting de Gijon A 1–1 D
17 Feb Elche CF H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Burgos CF UD Almeria
#7 Position #3
72 Points 74
42 Played 42
20 / 12 / 10 W / D / L 22 / 8 / 12
48 Scored 81
33 Conceded 63
+15 GD +18
1.71 PPG 1.76
48% Win % 52%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts). UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burgos CF and UD Almeria get this one started.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 9' Marcelo Exposito has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
  • 14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' It’s gonna be a card for Kaiky.
  • 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 26' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' Assisted by Lucas Robertone with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gonzalo Melero makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 32' Lucas Robertone is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
  • 37' Burgos CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Kaiky is replaced by Silvi.
  • 51' It looks surprising Burgos CF does not make any changes. Lazaro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' UD Almeria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 60' Marcelo Exposito is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 65' UD Almeria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 66' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Lucas Robertone is replaced by Alejandro Pozo on 66 minute.
  • 67' Magnificent from Fer Nino! That is 19 goals in 126 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 69' Inigo Cordoba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Ojeda on 69 minute.
  • 70' That is a card for Burgos CF. Curro Sanchez will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' UD Almeria make a change. Marc Pubill trudges off to be replaced by Lazaro on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Another change for UD Almeria made on 76 minute. Gonzalo Melero leaves to be changed by Sergio Arribas.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Burgos CF team. Curro Sanchez is replaced by David Gonzalez on 81 minute.
  • 84' GOAL! Inigo Cordoba fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 86' It is a substitution in Burgos CF team. Marcelo Exposito is replaced by Ivan Morante on 86 minute.
  • 90' Anderson Arroyo was booked on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burgos CF players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65 Burgos CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burgos CF51% Draw26% UD Almeria23%
Actual: Burgos CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Burgos CF or Draw
77%
Draw or UD Almeria
49%
Burgos CF or UD Almeria
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burgos CF35% Draw46% UD Almeria19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burgos CF

Handicap Burgos CF covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
34%
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.