Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Almeria vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
2 0
Full Time
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 16:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 10,391 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luis Suarez 29' 1–0
Alejandro Pozo 89' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Burgos CFSegunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Andres Fuentes Molina (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Victor Jimenez Yustos (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Carlos Martinez Caballero (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
UD Almeria 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals Burgos CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Burgos CF H 2–0 W
29 Sep Levante UD A 2–4 L
22 Sep SD Eibar H 2–2 D
16 Sep CD Castellon H 2–5 L
08 Sep CD Eldense A 0–1 L
31 Aug Real Sporting de Gijon H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct UD Almeria A 0–2 L
29 Sep Granada CF H 2–2 D
21 Sep RC Deportivo La Coruna A 2–0 W
15 Sep Real Zaragoza H 1–0 W
07 Sep SD Huesca A 1–0 W
01 Sep CD Castellon H 0–2 L

Season Stats

UD Almeria Burgos CF
#3 Position #7
74 Points 72
42 Played 42
22 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 10
81 Scored 48
63 Conceded 33
+18 GD +15
1.76 PPG 1.71
52% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts). Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos. UD Almeria are looking to make home advantage count against Burgos CF.
  • 5' It’s high time Rubí made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Dion Lopy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burgos CF so far.
  • 15' Burgos CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Almeria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 29' The deadlock is broken! Luis Suarez gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
  • 31' UD Almeria receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 38' Sergio Arribas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 48' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burgos CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 52' That is a card for UD Almeria. Nico Melamed will be fuming at that decision.
  • 53' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Suarez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a card for David Gonzalez.
  • 57' The referee shows Burgos CF player a card on 57.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Burgos CFIvan Morante on, Miguel Atienza off on 60 minutes.
  • 61' A tactical swap from UD AlmeriaArnau Puigmal on, Nico Melamed off on 61 minutes.
  • 66' The 22-year-old Ian Forns has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 69' The whistle greets Borja Sanchez Laborde as he departs to be replaced by Inigo Cordoba.
  • 73' The UD Almeria manager makes a substitution. Leo Baptistao departs to be replaced by Rachad Fettal.
  • 78' It is a cagey affair so far. UD Almeria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burgos CF's compact 4-1-4-1.
  • 83' Bruno Langa, a Mozambique , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 84' The Burgos CF bench stirs into life. Aitor Cordoba is withdrawn and Daniel Ojeda gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Alejandro Pozo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Burgos CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria47% Draw28% Burgos CF25%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
74%
Draw or Burgos CF
53%
UD Almeria or Burgos CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria32% Draw48% Burgos CF20%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Burgos CF covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
35%
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.