UD Almeria vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
UD Almeria vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.
- UD Almeria 42 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
- Burgos CF 42 games · 72 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andres Fuentes Molina (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Victor Jimenez Yustos (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Carlos Martinez Caballero (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almeria | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Burgos CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Levante UD | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | SD Eibar | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | CD Castellon | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Sep | CD Eldense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Real Sporting de Gijon | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | UD Almeria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Granada CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | RC Deportivo La Coruna | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Real Zaragoza | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Sep | SD Huesca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | CD Castellon | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| UD Almeria | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #7 |
| 74 | Points | 72 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 22 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 20 / 12 / 10 |
| 81 | Scored | 48 |
| 63 | Conceded | 33 |
| +18 | GD | +15 |
| 1.76 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 52% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts). Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos. UD Almeria are looking to make home advantage count against Burgos CF.
- 5' It’s high time Rubí made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Dion Lopy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burgos CF so far.
- 15' Burgos CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Almeria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 29' The deadlock is broken! Luis Suarez gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
- 31' UD Almeria receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
- 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 38' Sergio Arribas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 43' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 48' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burgos CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 52' That is a card for UD Almeria. Nico Melamed will be fuming at that decision.
- 53' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Suarez argues furiously but the card stands.
- 56' It’s gonna be a card for David Gonzalez.
- 57' The referee shows Burgos CF player a card on 57.
- 60' A tactical swap from Burgos CF — Ivan Morante on, Miguel Atienza off on 60 minutes.
- 61' A tactical swap from UD Almeria — Arnau Puigmal on, Nico Melamed off on 61 minutes.
- 66' The 22-year-old Ian Forns has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 69' The whistle greets Borja Sanchez Laborde as he departs to be replaced by Inigo Cordoba.
- 73' The UD Almeria manager makes a substitution. Leo Baptistao departs to be replaced by Rachad Fettal.
- 78' It is a cagey affair so far. UD Almeria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burgos CF's compact 4-1-4-1.
- 83' Bruno Langa, a Mozambique , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 84' The Burgos CF bench stirs into life. Aitor Cordoba is withdrawn and Daniel Ojeda gets his opportunity.
- 89' Alejandro Pozo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
UD Almeria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 12
- 1
- 17
- 15
- 9
- 24
- 6
- 11
- 21
- 10
Bench
- 3
- 20
- 13
- 2
- 4
- 8
- 27
- 19
- 28
Coach
Rubí
Burgos CF Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
3
Florian Miguel ↓ Ian Forns 60'
- 2
- 10
- 12
- 13
- 4
-
5
Miguel Atienza ↓ Ivan Morante 60'
-
18
Aitor Cordoba ↓ Daniel Ojeda 84'
-
19
Eduardo Espiau ↓ Fer Nino 60'
- 11
- 14
Bench
- 1
-
7
Daniel Ojeda ↑ 84'
-
21
Inigo Cordoba ↑ 69'
- 20
-
23
Ivan Morante ↑ 60'
- 27
-
38
Ian Forns ↑ 60'
- 22
-
9
Fer Nino ↑ 60'
- 6
- 32
Coach
Bolo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Pozo | 1 |
| Luis Suarez | 1 |
| Gonzalo Melero | 1 |
| Inigo Cordoba | 1 |
| Fer Nino | 1 |
| Marcelo Exposito | 1 |
Head to Head
UD Almeria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5
UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Burgos CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almeria win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
UD Almeria or Draw
74%
Draw or Burgos CF
53%
UD Almeria or Burgos CF
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: UD Almeria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — UD Almeria
| Handicap | UD Almeria covers | Push | Burgos CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

