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Borussia Dortmund vs Hannover 96, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 26 Jan 2019 · 14:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Hannover 96Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Benedikt Kempkes
  • Referee Christian Bandurski
  • Referee Mike Pickel
  • Referee Manuel Grafe
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
Borussia Dortmund 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Hannover 96

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Hannover 96 H 5–1 W
19 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
21 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–1 W
18 Dec TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–2 L
15 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
11 Dec AS Monaco FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 1–5 L
19 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
22 Dec TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 0–1 L
19 Dec SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
15 Dec FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
09 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Borussia Dortmund get us underway at Signal Iduna Park.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 9' A moment of madness from Achraf Hakimi on 9 minutes earns him a Yellow card. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund will be frustrated.
  • 10' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Achraf Hakimi on 10 minutes.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matthias Ostrzolek, as he is very good at scoring at Signal Iduna Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Borussia Dortmund and Hannover 96 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 24' What a moment for Achraf Hakimi! That strike on 24 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lucien Favre will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 43' The whistle greets Noah-Joel Sarenren-Bazee as he departs to be replaced by Takuma Asano.
  • 44' Hannover 96 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 49' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hannover 96 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 54' It’s high time Andre Breitenreiter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' Marco Reus makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund are in front.
  • 62' GOAL! Mario Gotze scores on 62. Assisted by Jadon Sancho
  • 66' BV Borussia 09 Dortmund make a change. Mario Gotze trudges off to be replaced by Paco Alcacer on 66 minutes.
  • 67' A stunning finish from Raphael Guerreiro — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 70' The crowd applauds Lukasz Piszczek as he leaves the pitch. Marcel Schmelzer steps in for BV Borussia 09 Dortmund.
  • 75' Tim Dierssen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nicolai Muller at the 75 minute mark.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Mahmoud Dahoud. He replaces Thomas Delaney on 79 minute.
  • 84' Benjamin Hadzic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hendrik Weydandt at the 84 minute mark.
  • 86' What composure from Marvin Bakalorz! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-5.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Axel Witsel makes it 0-6.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Hannover 96 xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund64% Draw21% Hannover 9615%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
85%
Draw or Hannover 96
36%
Borussia Dortmund or Hannover 96
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund46% Draw41% Hannover 9613%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Hannover 96 covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39%
Hannover 96 keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.