Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Memorial Stadium 7,644 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chris Martin pen 6' 1–0
1–1 38' Aaron Morley
Chris Martin 63' 2–1
2–2 70' John McAtee
Connor Taylor 88' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FCLeague One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Howick

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 2–3 L
08 Mar Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
01 Mar Wrexham AFC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Memorial Stadium that hosts another battle between Bristol Rovers FC and Bolton Wanderers FC.
  • 5' Bolton Wanderers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 6' Goal! Chris Martin scores his 54 goal in 385 matches.
  • 11' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 16' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 21' Alex Murphy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 53 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 26' Bolton Wanderers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Taylor Moore, as he is very good at scoring at Memorial Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 38' Goal! Aaron Morley scores his 22 goal in 140 matches.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 48' It looks surprising Bolton Wanderers FC does not make any changes. Luke Southwood has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joel Randall suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 59 minute. Szabolcs Schon leaves to be changed by Jordi Osei-Tutu.
  • 63' Chris Martin puts Bristol Rovers FC on the lead.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC. Alex Murphy is replaced by Carlos Mendes Gomes.
  • 70' GOAL! John McAtee scores on 70. Assisted by Aaron Morley
  • 71' Another change for Bristol Rovers FC made on 71 minute. Chris Martin leaves to be changed by Scott Sinclair.
  • 76' Isaac Hutchinson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joel Senior on 76 minute.
  • 81' It looks like no one’s ball. Bolton Wanderers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 83' The whistle greets Kofi Shaw as he departs to be replaced by Luke Thomas.
  • 84' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Gethin Jones by Chris Forino-Joseph on 84 minute.
  • 88' What a strike from Connor Taylor! The score is 3-2.
  • 90' Shaqai Forde was booked on 90.
  • With this win, Bristol Rovers FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol Rovers FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC41% Draw27% Bolton Wanderers FC32%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
59%
Bristol Rovers FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC30% Draw45% Bolton Wanderers FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.