Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Memorial Stadium 7,644 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chris Martin pen 6' 1–0
1–1 38' Aaron Morley
Chris Martin 63' 2–1
2–2 70' John McAtee
Connor Taylor 88' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Howick
5 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 6.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 2–3 L
08 Mar Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
01 Mar Wrexham AFC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Bristol Rovers FC host Bolton Wanderers FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bristol Rovers FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 6' The deadlock is broken! Chris Martin gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
  • 11' Bristol Rovers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Bolton Wanderers FC's shape.
  • 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 21' Taylor Moore has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bolton Wanderers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Bristol Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 38' Brilliant from the ! Aaron Morley makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 38.
  • 43' Alex Murphy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 48' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bristol Rovers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 53' A quiet spell here at Memorial Stadium. Bristol Rovers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jordi Osei-Tutu is hanging Szabolcs Schon on the field on 59 minute.
  • 63' The deadlock is broken! Chris Martin gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Carlos Mendes Gomes is replacing Alex Murphy for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 70' A stunning finish from John McAtee — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 71' A tactical swap from Bristol Rovers FC — Scott Sinclair on, Chris Martin off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' The Bristol Rovers FC bench stirs into life. Joel Senior is withdrawn and Isaac Hutchinson gets his opportunity.
  • 81' The travelling Bolton Wanderers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 83' Luke Thomas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kofi Shaw at the 83 minute mark.
  • 84' Chris Forino-Joseph is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gethin Jones at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' Goal! Connor Taylor scores his 4 goal in 388 matches.
  • 90' Shaqai Forde picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Bolton Wanderers FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol Rovers FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC41% Draw27% Bolton Wanderers FC32%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
59%
Bristol Rovers FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC30% Draw45% Bolton Wanderers FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.