Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 22,422 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Collins 76' 1–0
Y 30' Matt Butcher

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Bristol Rovers FCLeague One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Matthew Jones

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Bristol Rovers FC H 1–0 W
01 Apr Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
29 Mar Blackpool FC A 1–2 L
15 Mar Stockport County FC H 0–1 L
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 2–3 L
08 Mar Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
01 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Mansfield Town FC H 1–2 L
22 Mar Crawley Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Mar Lincoln City FC A 0–5 L
11 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bolton Wanderers FC is hosting Bristol Rovers FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The travelling Bristol Rovers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' John McAtee has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chris Forino-Joseph made 364 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' George Thomason is replacing Will Forrester for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 22' Bolton Wanderers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
  • 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Matt Butcher was booked on 30.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bristol Rovers FC that had 291 games and scored 317 goals.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol Rovers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' It looks surprising Bolton Wanderers FC does not make any changes. Nathan Baxter has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' It’s high time Steven Schumacher made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 64' Gethin Jones is replacing Josh Dacres-Cogley for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luke Thomas, as he is very good at scoring at Toughsheet Community Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 76' Bolton Wanderers FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aaron Collins on 76.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Bristol Rovers FC team. Gatlin O'Donkor is replaced by Isaac Hutchinson on 77 minute.
  • 80' Jack Hunt is replacing Taylor Moore for the Bristol Rovers FC side.
  • 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kofi Shaw suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Jordi Osei-Tutu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.43 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC52% Draw27% Bristol Rovers FC21%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
48%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Bristol Rovers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC33% Draw50% Bristol Rovers FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.