Saturday , 14 November 2026

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Newcastle United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 27 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Ewood Park 22,730 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 71' Anthony Gordon
Samuel Szmodics 79' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Newcastle United FC — FA Cup at Ewood Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Newcastle United FC H 3–4 L
24 Feb Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
20 Feb Cardiff City FC A 0–0 D
17 Feb Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
13 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
10 Feb Stoke City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 4–3 W
24 Feb Arsenal FC A 1–4 L
17 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
10 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 3–2 W
03 Feb Luton Town FC H 4–4 D
30 Jan Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Ewood Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Blackburn Rovers FC and Newcastle United FC.
  • 5' Newcastle United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Blackburn Rovers FC that had 395 games and scored 487 goals.
  • 15' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Andrew Moran on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
  • 28' A quiet spell here at Ewood Park. Blackburn Rovers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 33' With 2 assists to his name this season, Callum Brittain is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Blackburn Rovers FC.
  • 38' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Arnor Sigurdsson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sam Gallagher at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Blackburn Rovers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 61' Blackburn Rovers FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Newcastle United FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 62' The Newcastle United FC manager makes a substitution. Jacob Murphy departs to be replaced by Miguel Almiron.
  • 64' Dilan Markanday is replacing Tyrhys Dolan for the Blackburn Rovers FC side.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. Blackburn Rovers FC and Newcastle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' Anthony Gordon is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 72' Blackburn Rovers FC ring the changes. Kyle McFadzean has done his job and it is now time for Billy Koumetio to step up.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' Samuel Szmodics makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Blackburn Rovers FC are in front.
  • 84' Slovakia international Martin Dubravka has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dan Burn, as he is very good at scoring at Ewood Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Newcastle United FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.85 Blackburn Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Blackburn Rovers FC or Newcastle United FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Blackburn Rovers FC35% Draw24% Newcastle United FC41%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
65%
Blackburn Rovers FC or Newcastle United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Blackburn Rovers FC29% Draw39% Newcastle United FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.9%
1 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC

Handicap Blackburn Rovers FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.